A Third of the Shares RetiredNarrow moat

Applied Materials (AMAT) — moat facet

Applied has retired a third of its shares in ten years, so earnings per share grew almost eight times while profit grew five.

Applied has used its cash to shrink itself, and the effect on each share has been large. Diluted shares were 1,226 million in fiscal 2015 and 808 million in 20251, a fall of 34%2, and 800 million in the quarter to July 20263.

Diluted shares (millions)1,226FY20151,026FY2018919FY2021845FY2023808FY2025SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts
A third fewer shares in ten years.

The buybacks were steady and large. Applied repurchased $4,893 million of stock in fiscal 2025, 30 million shares at an average price of $162.854, and $3,851 million in 2024 at an average of $190.275. In March 2025 the board authorised a further $10.0 billion, leaving about $14.0 billion available at October 20256.

The result shows in earnings per share. Net income grew from $1,377 million in fiscal 2015 to $6,998 million in 20257, about five times; diluted earnings per share grew from $1.12 to $8.6689, almost eight times.

Buybacks do not widen a moat, but they return the moat's profits to owners without the company having to find acquisitions for them.

Owners have not been diluted by the stock the company pays its staff. Shares outstanding were 792,705,219 at the end of 202510 and 793.60 million in September 202611, while the diluted count kept falling. Institutions held 85.45% and insiders 0.26%12.

The buybacks have also outrun the stock issued to employees. The chief executive alone received long-term awards of $26,944,995 in fiscal 202513, and the company's pay ratio was about 330 to 114. Stock pay is real, but the falling share count shows the buyback has more than offset it.

Applied has been a disciplined shrinker. The figure to watch is the diluted share count: if it stops falling while the company keeps buying, stock pay is eating the buyback.

Moat trajectory: Holding steady

Diluted shares 1,226M (FY2015) to 800M (Q3 FY2026).

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Share repurchases, latest quarter
$440M (Q3 FY2026)

Cash returned by buyback; a quarter with none while cash builds would signal caution on the cycle.

Source: Applied Materials Q3 FY2026 results release ↗
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
Buying Back Near the Top
Applied spent over $6 billion on buybacks in 2022, the year its market value fell by two-fifths, and now trades at 40 times earnings.
References
  1. ReportedDiluted shares were 1,226 million in fiscal 2015 and 808 million in 2025, a fall of 34%, and 800 million in the quarter to July 2026.
    SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts for Applied Materials (CIK 6951) - revenue, net income, diluted EPS, R&D, capital expenditure, buybacks and diluted shares, FY2015-FY2025. — FY2015-FY2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  2. Moat Explorer calcDiluted shares were 1,226 million in fiscal 2015 and 808 million in 2025, a fall of 34%, and 800 million in the quarter to July 2026.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Applied Materials' reported figures ($ millions unless stated). Segment shares FY2025: Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 28,368 = 73.3%; Applied Global Services 6,385 / 28,368 = 22.5%; Corporate and Other 1,185 / 28,368 = 4.2%. Segment operating margins FY2025: 7,379 / 20,798 = 35.5%; 1,792 / 6,385 = 28.1%; FY2024 6,981 / 19,911 = 35.1%, 1,812 / 6,225 = 29.1%; FY2023 6,879 / 19,698 = 34.9%, 1,529 / 5,732 = 26.7%. Q3 FY2026 margins: Semiconductor Systems 2,657 / 7,040 = 37.7%; Applied Global Services 536 / 1,781 = 30.1%; company operating margin 3,075 / 9,115 = 33.7%. Q1 FY2026 Semiconductor Systems 1,427 / 5,141 = 27.8%. Nine months FY2026 6,176 / 18,146 = 34.0% and 1,461 / 5,005 = 29.2%. Growth Q3 FY2026: Semiconductor Systems 7,040 / 5,564 - 1 = 26.5% year on year and 7,040 / 5,965 - 1 = 18.0% on the quarter; Applied Global Services 1,781 / 1,463 - 1 = 21.7%; revenue 9,115 / 7,910 - 1 = 15.2% on the quarter; United States revenue 1,367 / 683 - 1 = 100%; Europe 483 / 160 = 3.0 times. Nine months: 18,146 / 16,562 - 1 = 9.6%; 5,005 / 4,236 - 1 = 18.2%. Segment history, revenue: Semiconductor Systems 11,367 (FY2020), 16,286, 18,797, 19,698, 19,911, 20,798 (FY2025), compound growth (20,798 / 11,367)^(1/5) - 1 = 12.8% a year; Applied Global Services 4,155, 5,013, 5,543, 5,732, 6,225, 6,385, compound growth (6,385 / 4,155)^(1/5) - 1 = 9.0% a year, 6,385 / 5,732 - 1 = 11.4% over two years; Corporate and Other including Display 1,607 + 73 = 1,680 (FY2020), 1,634 + 130 = 1,764 (FY2021), 1,331 + 114 = 1,445 (FY2022), 868 + 219 = 1,087, 885 + 155 = 1,040, 1,185 (FY2025); 1,185 / 1,680 - 1 = -29%. Display operating margin 235 / 1,060 = 22% (FY2025) and 51 / 885 = 6% (FY2024). DRAM equipment 26% x 20,798 = about 5,400; flash 7% x 20,798 = about 1,460. Company margins: gross 13,808 / 28,368 = 48.7% (FY2025), 12,897 / 27,176 = 47.5% (FY2024), 12,384 / 26,517 = 46.7% (FY2023); operating 8,289 / 28,368 = 29.2%. R&D 3,570 / 28,368 = 12.6%; 3,570 / 1,451 = 2.5 times (FY2015-FY2025). Effective tax 2,273 / 9,271 = 24.5% (FY2025) and 975 / 8,152 = 12.0% (FY2024). Revenue FY2019 14,608 / 16,705 - 1 = -12.6%. Diluted shares 808 / 1,226 - 1 = -34%. Revenue outside the United States 25,305 / 28,368 = 89%. China share of revenue: 5,456 / 17,202 = 31.7% (FY2020); 7,535 / 23,063 = 32.7%; 7,254 / 25,785 = 28.1%; 7,247 / 26,517 = 27.3%; 10,117 / 27,176 = 37.2% (FY2024); 8,529 / 28,368 = 30.1% (FY2025). Taiwan 6,857 / 4,010 - 1 = 71%. Two largest customers 19% + 15% = 34% (FY2025) and 20% + 14% = 34% (nine months FY2026). Backlog: 15,002 / 19,011 - 1 = -21% (October 2022 to October 2025); Semiconductor Systems 7,105 / 12,691 - 1 = -44%; Applied Global Services 7,141 / 5,643 - 1 = +27%; shares of backlog 7,141 / 15,002 = 48% and 7,105 / 15,002 = 47%. Contract liabilities 3,271 / 2,566 - 1 = +27%; receivables 7,691 / 5,185 - 1 = +48%. Cash: net cash 7,241 + 1,332 - 100 - 6,455 = 2,018 (October 2025); 8,022 + 1,449 - 799 - 5,460 = 3,212 (October 2024); 7,037 + 2,196 - 1,299 - 5,245 = 2,689 (July 2026). Payout 1,384 / 6,998 = 19.8%; dividends plus buybacks 1,384 + 4,893 = 6,277, 6,277 / 7,958 = 79% of operating cash flow. ROE 6,998 / ((20,415 + 19,001) / 2) = 35.5% (FY2025), 40.6% (FY2024), 48.0% (FY2023). Trailing twelve months to July 2026: revenue 6,800 + 24,037 = 30,837; net income 1,897 + 7,370 = 9,267; operating cash flow 2,828 + 5,568 = 8,396; capital expenditure 785 + 1,988 = 2,773. Implied FY2026 revenue at the guidance midpoint 24,037 + 10,250 = 34,287, 34,287 / 28,368 - 1 = 20.9%; fourth-quarter midpoint 10,250 / 6,800 - 1 = 50.7%; implied non-GAAP EPS 8.73 + 4.02 = 12.75. Market: 376,360 / 9,267 = 40.6 times trailing earnings; 376,360 / 30,837 = 12.2 times sales; price 474.25 / 723.00 - 1 = -34.4%; Lam Research 384.36 - 376.36 = 8.00 bn more market value. ASML 662.45 / 376.36 = 1.8 times; KLA 246.05 / 376.36 = 0.65. Calendar year-end 2025 P/E 203,780 / 6,998 = 29.1; fiscal year-end P/E 40.91 / 11.83 = 3.5 times the FY2022 low. Other: services growth FY2025 6,385 / 6,225 - 1 = 2.6%; company revenue 28,368 / 27,176 - 1 = 4.4%; dividends 1,384 / 7,958 = 17.4% of operating cash flow; two largest customers FY2024 12% + 11% = 23%; Korea 1,521 / 1,160 - 1 = 31%; Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 11,367 = 1.83 times (FY2020-FY2025); Display 1,060 / 1,607 - 1 = -34%; net income 6,998 / 1,377 = 5.1 times and EPS 8.66 / 1.12 = 7.7 times (FY2015-FY2025); revenue 28,368 / 9,659 = 2.9 times; balance sheet build July 2026 6,564 + 7,691 + 5,606 = 19,861; Display revenue excluded from Corporate and Other FY2025 1,185 - 1,060 = 125. Revenue FY2024 27,176 / 26,517 - 1 = 2.5%; R&D Q4 917 / 858 - 1 = 6.9%; revenue 30,837 / 25,785 - 1 = 19.6% (FY2022 to trailing July 2026); strategic investment gains 755 + 949 = 1,704; China less Taiwan nine months 6,688 - 5,902 = 786; forward earnings implied 40.91 / 26.95 = 1.52 times trailing; Q4 guide 10,250 / 9,115 - 1 = 12.5% above Q3. Memory share of systems revenue: DRAM plus flash 19% + 21% = 40% (FY2021), 17% + 6% = 23% (FY2023), 26% + 7% = 33% (FY2025). Market value 376,360 / 182,232 = 2.07 times the FY2025 year-end value; trailing net income 9,267 / 6,998 - 1 = 32%. Operating income 8,289 / 1,693 = 4.9 times (FY2015-FY2025). P/E gap to Lam 57.7 - 40.9 = 16.8. Q3 FY2026 returns 860 / 3,037 = 28% of operating cash flow. China plus Taiwan nine months (6,688 + 5,902) / 24,037 = 52%. Systems revenue Q1 to Q3 FY2026 7,040 / 5,141 - 1 = 37%. Systems share of segment operating income FY2025 7,379 / (7,379 + 1,792) = 7,379 / 9,171 = 80%. Systems R&D 3,042 / 20,798 = 14.6%. Third quarter share of nine-month systems profit 2,657 / 6,176 = 43%. Services FY2024 6,225 / 5,732 - 1 = 8.6%. Services share of backlog 4,335 / 11,758 = 37% (October 2021). Research per diluted share 1,451 / 1,226 = 1.18 (FY2015) and 3,570 / 808 = 4.42 (FY2025). Net cash plus long-term investments 2,689 + 5,268 = 7,957. Dividends per share 1.78 / 1.22 - 1 = 46%. ROE 35.5% / 10% = 3.5 times - segment shares, margins and growth - segment revenue shares and growth. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Applied Materials' Forms 10-K and 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  3. ReportedDiluted shares were 1,226 million in fiscal 2015 and 808 million in 2025, a fall of 34%, and 800 million in the quarter to July 2026.
    Applied Materials third-quarter fiscal 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - record revenue, segment results, revenue by geography, employees and fourth-quarter guidance - highlights, income statement, cash flow, quotes and fourth-quarter guidance. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 13 August 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedApplied repurchased $4,893 million of stock in fiscal 2025, 30 million shares at an average price of $162.85, and $3,851 million in 2024 at an average of $190.27.
    Applied Materials Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 26 October 2025) - financial statements and notes: capital returns, debt, investments, tax and geography. — FY2025 · publ. 12 December 2025 · source ↗
  5. ReportedApplied repurchased $4,893 million of stock in fiscal 2025, 30 million shares at an average price of $162.85, and $3,851 million in 2024 at an average of $190.27.
    Applied Materials Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 26 October 2025) - financial statements and notes: capital returns, debt, investments, tax and geography. — FY2025 · publ. 12 December 2025 · source ↗
  6. ReportedIn March 2025 the board authorised a further $10.0 billion, leaving about $14.0 billion available at October 2025.
    Applied Materials Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 26 October 2025) - financial statements and notes: capital returns, debt, investments, tax and geography. — FY2025 · publ. 12 December 2025 · source ↗
  7. ReportedNet income grew from $1,377 million in fiscal 2015 to $6,998 million in 2025, about five times; diluted earnings per share grew from $1.12 to $8.66, almost eight times.
    SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts for Applied Materials (CIK 6951) - revenue, net income, diluted EPS, R&D, capital expenditure, buybacks and diluted shares, FY2015-FY2025. — FY2015-FY2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedNet income grew from $1,377 million in fiscal 2015 to $6,998 million in 2025, about five times; diluted earnings per share grew from $1.12 to $8.66, almost eight times.
    SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts for Applied Materials (CIK 6951) - revenue, net income, diluted EPS, R&D, capital expenditure, buybacks and diluted shares, FY2015-FY2025. — FY2015-FY2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedNet income grew from $1,377 million in fiscal 2015 to $6,998 million in 2025, about five times; diluted earnings per share grew from $1.12 to $8.66, almost eight times.
    Applied Materials fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - full-year income statement, cash flow, balance sheet, Display results and one-off items. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  10. ReportedShares outstanding were 792,705,219 at the end of 2025 and 793.60 million in September 2026, while the diluted count kept falling.
    Applied Materials 2026 proxy statement (DEF 14A) - CEO history, holders of more than 5% and the pay ratio. — FY2025 · publ. 28 January 2026 · source ↗
  11. ReportedShares outstanding were 792,705,219 at the end of 2025 and 793.60 million in September 2026, while the diluted count kept falling.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  12. ReportedInstitutions held 85.45% and insiders 0.26%.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  13. ReportedThe chief executive alone received long-term awards of $26,944,995 in fiscal 2025, and the company's pay ratio was about 330 to 1.
    Applied Materials 2026 proxy statement (DEF 14A) - CEO history, holders of more than 5% and the pay ratio. — FY2025 · publ. 28 January 2026 · source ↗
  14. ReportedThe chief executive alone received long-term awards of $26,944,995 in fiscal 2025, and the company's pay ratio was about 330 to 1.
    Applied Materials 2026 proxy statement (DEF 14A) - CEO history, holders of more than 5% and the pay ratio. — FY2025 · publ. 28 January 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 25, 2026