AmgenNarrow moat

AMGN — overall economic moat

Investment snapshot
Narrow moat→ Holding steadyConfidenceMediumValuationFair
Strongest advantageHome-grown biologics still grow fast: Repatha, EVENITY, TEZSPIRE and BLINCYTO sold $8.2bn in 2025, up about 37%, and six growth drivers grew 26% in Q2 2026
Greatest threatPrice and patents: deductions take 54% of gross sales, Prolia and XGEVA are falling by a third after losing patents, Medicare prices ENBREL and Otezla, and the IRS asserts $10.7bn
Key metricReturn on invested capital (13.8% in 2025, 20.6% before Horizon) against a 7% hurdle
Verdict: Amgen still builds new biologics that grow quickly, and in 2026 they outran the loss of denosumab. But its older drugs are being repriced by Medicare and copied, more than half of every gross dollar goes back in rebates, and much of its growth was bought with $41 billion of purchases and debt. At about 18 times forward earnings after a 48% rise, the shares price the growth fairly and leave out the $10.7 billion IRS dispute and the TAVNEOS proceeding. A narrow, stable moat at a fair price with two binary risks.
📈 AMGN valuation, revenue & earnings — P/E, P/S, revenue, EPS →

Amgen is one of the founders of the biotechnology industry, and today it is a company that grows by selling more medicine at lower prices and by buying drugs it did not discover. It was incorporated in California in 19801, employs about 31,500 people in over 50 countries2, and operates as a single business segment, human therapeutics3.

Total revenues ($bn)21.7201522.8201723.4201926.0202128.2202333.4202436.82025Amgen Forms 10-K FY2019 and FY2025; FY2021 results release; Horizon from Oct 2023
Flat for years, then lifted by Horizon.

Total revenues were $36,751 million in 2025, up 10%4. They come from five kinds of drug. General medicine and bone, Repatha, EVENITY, Prolia and XGEVA, sold $11,614 million; inflammation and rare disease, including ENBREL, Otezla and the Horizon drugs, $11,045 million; oncology $6,660 million; biosimilars, Amgen's copies of other companies' drugs, $3,024 million; and older products plus royalty and partner income $4,408 million5. About 73% of product sales were American6.

How it makes money is the biologic-drug model under growing price pressure. Amgen bills at list price and gives back rebates and chargebacks, which took 54% of gross product sales in 2025, $41,983 million, against 41% in 201978. Growth now comes from volume: product sales rose 10% on 13% more volume and 3% lower prices9. Three wholesalers carry 77% of gross revenues10.

Much of the growth was bought. Otezla cost $13.4 billion in 201911 and Horizon about $27.8 billion in 202312, and debt was $57.3 billion in June 202613. Reported diluted earnings were $14.23 a share in 2025 against $21.84 on Amgen's own measure1415, the difference being mostly acquisition costs.

The pressures are specific. Prolia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 202516 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 202617; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 202718; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico19; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS20. Against them, six growth drivers grew 26%21.

In the second quarter of 2026 total revenues rose 10% to $10,054 million22. The shares closed at $414.61 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $224.15 billion2324, 25.76 times trailing and 17.65 times forward earnings25.

Amgen is an old company by the standards of its industry. It was incorporated in California in 1980 and became a Delaware corporation in 198726, and Robert Bradway has been chief executive since 201227. Its largest shareholders are index and institutional managers, BlackRock with 7.6% and State Street with 5.5% in March 202628, and there is no controlling holder. The dividend runs at $10.08 a share a year, a yield of 2.43%29. The finance and technology chiefs both changed in 2026, with Thomas Dittrich becoming chief financial officer on 1 September30.

The moat is narrow: real science, eroding prices and an expensive portfolio of purchases. The number that would falsify that verdict is return on invested capital, 13.8% in 2025 against 20.6% before Horizon31; if it cannot climb back above 15% as the purchased drugs mature, Amgen will have paid more for its growth than the growth is worth.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Revenue, and where it comes from
$36.8bn in 2025: general medicine and bone $11.6bn, inflammation and rare disease $11.0bn, oncology $6.7bn, established and other $4.4bn, biosimilars $3.0bn

After $42.0bn of sales deductions. Watch denosumab, $6.5bn in 2025 and falling by a third.

Source: Amgen Form 10-K, FY2025 ↗
Moat scorecardHow ratings work →
Switching costs6/10
Network effects1/10
Pricing power4/10
Hard to replicate7/10
Disruption resistance5/10
Overall durability6/10

Switching costs are moderate: patients stable on a chronic biologic are rarely moved, but payers switch them to copies once biosimilars arrive, as Prolia shows. Replication is hard: biologics take years of trials and complex plants, which Amgen's own biosimilar business proves it can do for others' drugs. Pricing power is weak: deductions rose from 41% to 54% of gross sales and Medicare now sets two prices. Disruption resistance is middling: new mechanisms and copies arrive on known dates. Network effects are negligible. Durability sits in the narrow band because new drugs keep replacing old ones, but at a return on capital that fell after Horizon.

Dig deeper
DIG DEEPER 01
The Revenue Lines
Amgen's largest revenue line turned down in 2026 as denosumab lost its patents, and the other four bands now carry the growth.
DIG DEEPER 02
The Moat
Amgen still builds new biologics, but its older drugs are being repriced and copied as fast as the new ones grow, and much of its growth was bought.
DIG DEEPER 03
Competitors
Amgen has no single great rival; it has dozens of drug-by-drug contests, and the most damaging competitors in 2026 are copy makers it cannot even…
DIG DEEPER 04
Major Clients
Three wholesalers buy 77% of Amgen's gross sales, but the customers who set its prices are the payers who take $38.7 billion of rebates and…
✦ Future bets — beyond today's moat
✦ FUTURE BET 01
The Future Bets
Amgen's bets range from a first-in-class autoimmune drug with a positive Phase 3 to an obesity drug whose headline data disappointed investors twice.
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
Prolia and XGEVA: The Copies Arrive
Prolia and XGEVA, $6.5 billion of sales in 2025, lost their patents and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026.
⚠ THREAT 02
The IRS Wants About $10.7 Billion
The IRS wants about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over profits Amgen booked in Puerto Rico, and a decision is due late 2026 or early 2027.
◆ What the market may be missing
◆ THE VARIANT VIEW
What the Market Isn't Pricing In
Amgen trades near 18 times forward earnings after a 48% rise, and the $10.7 billion IRS dispute and the TAVNEOS proceeding are not in that number.
◆ THE VARIANT VIEW
Inside the Latest Quarter (Q2 2026)
In the second quarter of 2026 Amgen's young drugs grew 26% while Prolia and XGEVA fell a third, and revenue still rose 10%.
References
  1. ReportedIt was incorporated in California in 1980, employs about 31,500 people in over 50 countries, and operates as a single business segment, human therapeutics.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2019 - selected financial data for 2015-2019, product sales for 2017-2019 and the 2017 Tax Act charge. — FY2019 · publ. February 2020 · source ↗
  2. ReportedIt was incorporated in California in 1980, employs about 31,500 people in over 50 countries, and operates as a single business segment, human therapeutics.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1 business: products, collaborations, staff and pipeline. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedIt was incorporated in California in 1980, employs about 31,500 people in over 50 countries, and operates as a single business segment, human therapeutics.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1 business: products, collaborations, staff and pipeline. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedTotal revenues were $36,751 million in 2025, up 10%.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 7 MD&A: product sales, sales deductions and customer concentration. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  5. Moat Explorer calcGeneral medicine and bone, Repatha, EVENITY, Prolia and XGEVA, sold $11,614 million; inflammation and rare disease, including ENBREL, Otezla and the Horizon drugs, $11,045 million; oncology $6,660 million; biosimilars, Amgen's copies of other companies' drugs, $3,024 million; and older products plus royalty and partner income $4,408 million.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Amgen's reported product sales and financial statements ($ millions unless stated). Sales deductions: 2019 rebates 6,825 + chargebacks 7,090 + other 1,292 = 15,207; 2025 21,697 + 16,988 + 3,298 = 41,983; 41,983 / 35,148 = 1.19 times net product sales; implied gross product sales 35,148 + 41,983 = 77,131. Growth 2019-2025: deductions 41,983 / 15,207 = 2.76 times; net product sales 35,148 / 22,204 = 1.58 times (up 58%); rebates 21,697 / 6,825 = 3.18 times; chargebacks 16,988 / 7,090 = 2.4 times. Wholesalers 2025 gross: 26,253 + 20,986 + 12,562 = 59,801; 59,801 / 36,751 = 1.63 times total revenues; McKesson 26,253 / 36,751 = 71%. ENBREL: 2,226 / 5,433 - 1 = -59%; share of product sales 5,226 / 22,204 = 23.5% (2019), 2,226 / 35,148 = 6.3% (2025). ENBREL + Otezla 2025: 2,226 + 2,265 = 4,491; 4,491 / 36,751 = 12%. Otezla sales 2020-2025: 2,195 + 2,249 + 2,288 + 2,188 + 2,126 + 2,265 = 13,311; impairment 1,200 / 13,400 = 9%. Horizon products: 2023 448 + 272 + 65 + 164 = 949; 2024 1,851 + 1,185 + 379 + 758 = 4,173; 2025 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 719 = 4,617, 4,617 / 27,800 = 16.6%; Q2 2026 576 + 400 + 335 + 149 = 1,460, x4 = 5,840. TEPEZZA + KRYSTEXXA 2025 1,903 + 1,340 = 3,243; KRYSTEXXA 1,340 / 1,185 - 1 = 13.1%; TEPEZZA 1,903 / 1,851 - 1 = 2.8%; UPLIZNA 655 / 379 - 1 = 72.8%; H1 2026 262 + 335 = 597; ultra-rare 719 / 758 - 1 = -5.1%; UPLIZNA + ultra-rare 655 + 719 = 1,374. TAVNEOS H1 2026 119 + 150 = 269. Acquisitions: 13.4 + 3.9 + 27.8 = 45.1 bn; acquired products 2025 2,265 + 459 + 4,617 = 7,341, 7,341 / 36,751 = 20%. Interest 2,755 / 9,080 = 30%. Net debt 30 June 2026: 57.3 - 13.989 = 43.3 bn. Goodwill + intangibles 18,680 + 22,276 = 40,956, 40,956 / 90,586 = 45%. EPS gap 21.84 - 14.23 = 7.61. R&D 7,272 / 4,784 - 1 = 52%; 7,272 / 36,751 = 19.8%. Growth drivers 2025: Repatha 3,016 + EVENITY 2,100 + TEZSPIRE 1,478 + BLINCYTO 1,559 = 8,153 (2024: 2,222 + 1,563 + 972 + 1,216 = 5,973; 2023: 1,635 + 1,160 + 567 + 861 = 4,223; 2021: 1,117 + 530 + 0 + 472 = 2,119; 2019: 661 + 189 + 0 + 312 = 1,162); 8,153 / 5,973 - 1 = 36.5%, about 37%; 8,153 / 36,751 = 22%. Repatha 3,016 / 661 = 4.6 times, 3,016 / 2,222 - 1 = 36%; EVENITY 2,100 / 189 = 11 times; BLINCYTO 1,559 / 312 = 5.0 times. KYPROLIS 1,412 / 1,503 - 1 = -6%; KYPROLIS + Nplate 1,412 + 1,524 = 2,936, 2,936 / 6,660 = 44%; BLINCYTO + IMDELLTRA 1,559 + 627 = 2,186; Q2 2026 472 + 288 = 760. IMDELLTRA run rate 288 x 4 = 1,152, 1,152 / 6,498 = 18%. Biosimilars: 2025 AMJEVITA 597 + PAVBLU 700 + WEZLANA 273 + MVASI 771 + in other products 683 = 3,024; 3,024 / 35,148 = 8.6% of product sales; 3,024 / 36,751 = 8.2% of total revenues; PAVBLU 700 / 3,024 = 23%; AMJEVITA 597 / 761 - 1 = -22%; band 2022 1,831 / 2,177 - 1 = -16%; in other products 683 / 667 - 1 = 2%; WEZLANA and other biosimilars added (273 - 27) + (683 - 667) = 262; Q2 2026 155 + 287 + 61 + 153 + 199 = 855; Q2 2025 133 + 130 + 35 + 191 + 172 = 661; 855 / 661 - 1 = 29%; shares of total revenues 568 / 23,362 = 2.4% (2019), 2,177 / 25,979 = 8.4% (2021), 1,916 / 28,190 = 6.8% (2023). Bands 2025: general medicine and bone 3,016 + 2,100 + 4,414 + 2,084 = 11,614 (31.6%); inflammation and rare disease 2,226 + 2,265 + 1,478 + 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 459 + 719 = 11,045 (30.1%); oncology 1,559 + 627 + 1,175 + 1,412 + 363 + 1,524 = 6,660 (18.1%); biosimilars 3,024 (8.2%); established and other 1,389 + 435 + 353 + (1,311 - 683 = 628) + 1,603 = 4,408 (12.0%); total 36,751. 2019 bands 5,457; 5,404; 2,895; 568; 9,038; total 23,362. General medicine 11,614 / 5,457 = 2.1 times, 11,614 / 10,384 - 1 = 11.8%; inflammation 2020 7,191, 2024 10,870 / 7,535 - 1 = 44%, 2025 11,045 / 10,870 - 1 = 1.6%, non-ENBREL-Otezla 11,045 - 4,491 = 6,554; oncology 6,660 / 2,895 = 2.3 times, 6,660 / 5,685 - 1 = 17.2%; established 4,408 / 9,038 = 0.49. Q2 bands 2026 vs 2025: general medicine 953 + 714 + 759 + 352 = 2,778 vs 696 + 518 + 1,122 + 532 = 2,868, down 3%; Repatha + EVENITY 1,667 vs 1,214; denosumab 1,111 vs 1,654, down 33%; inflammation 3,167 vs 604 + 618 + 342 + 505 + 349 + 176 + 110 + 183 = 2,887, up 9.7%; oncology 1,953 vs 384 + 134 + 305 + 378 + 90 + 369 = 1,660, up 17.7%; established and other 632 + (351 - 199) + 517 = 1,301 vs 359 + 82 + 92 + (334 - 172) + 408 = 1,103, up 18%. Denosumab 2025 4,414 + 2,084 = 6,498, 6,498 / 36,751 = 17.7%; Q1 2026 727 + 411 = 1,138; H1 2026 1,486 + 763 = 2,249 vs 2,221 + 1,098 = 3,319. Neulasta 435 / 4,534 - 1 = -90%. Geography: US 25,656 / 35,148 = 73%; rest of world 9,492 / 35,148 = 27.0%; Q2 2026 2,547 / 9,537 = 26.7%; AMJEVITA 129 / 155 = 83.2%; Aranesp 258 / 352 = 73.3%; ENBREL 6 / 580 = 1.0%. Novartis-facing 2025 3,016 + 2,265 + 2,226 + 1,524 + 1,478 = 10,509, 10,509 / 36,751 = 29%. Other revenues 1,603 / 36,751 = 4.4%. Receivables 9,570 / 6,782 - 1 = 41%. Guidance midpoints: (37.0 + 38.4) / 2 = 37.7; (37.1 + 38.5) / 2 = 37.8; (38.2 + 39.4) / 2 = 38.8; non-GAAP EPS (22.30 + 23.50) / 2 = 22.90. IRS: 3.6 + 5.1 + 2.0 = 10.7 bn before interest; offsets 0.9 + 2.2 = 3.1 bn; 10.7 / 7.711 = 1.4 times 2025 net income; 10.7 / 224.15 = 4.8% of market value. Trailing free cash flow 8,100 - 2,891 + 4,966 = 10,175; 10,175 / 224,150 = 4.5%. Shares 538.8 / 629.6 - 1 = -14%. Gross margin (total revenues - cost of sales) / total revenues: (28,190 - 8,451) / 28,190 = 70.0% (2023); (33,424 - 12,858) / 33,424 = 61.5% (2024); (36,751 - 12,037) / 36,751 = 67.2% (2025). Pre-tax income 2025 7,711 + 1,265 = 8,976. Total revenues 36,751 / 21,662 = 1.70 times 2015. Market value 224.15 / 176.25 - 1 = 27% in 2026; added 224.15 - 176.25 = 47.9 bn against 176.25 - 122.45 = 53.8 bn in 2015-2025. Trailing net income 7,711 - 3,162 + 4,194 = 8,743; trailing revenue 36,751 - 17,328 + 18,672 = 38,095 - revenue bands, biosimilars and denosumab. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Amgen's Forms 10-K, 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  6. Moat Explorer calcAbout 73% of product sales were American.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Amgen's reported product sales and financial statements ($ millions unless stated). Sales deductions: 2019 rebates 6,825 + chargebacks 7,090 + other 1,292 = 15,207; 2025 21,697 + 16,988 + 3,298 = 41,983; 41,983 / 35,148 = 1.19 times net product sales; implied gross product sales 35,148 + 41,983 = 77,131. Growth 2019-2025: deductions 41,983 / 15,207 = 2.76 times; net product sales 35,148 / 22,204 = 1.58 times (up 58%); rebates 21,697 / 6,825 = 3.18 times; chargebacks 16,988 / 7,090 = 2.4 times. Wholesalers 2025 gross: 26,253 + 20,986 + 12,562 = 59,801; 59,801 / 36,751 = 1.63 times total revenues; McKesson 26,253 / 36,751 = 71%. ENBREL: 2,226 / 5,433 - 1 = -59%; share of product sales 5,226 / 22,204 = 23.5% (2019), 2,226 / 35,148 = 6.3% (2025). ENBREL + Otezla 2025: 2,226 + 2,265 = 4,491; 4,491 / 36,751 = 12%. Otezla sales 2020-2025: 2,195 + 2,249 + 2,288 + 2,188 + 2,126 + 2,265 = 13,311; impairment 1,200 / 13,400 = 9%. Horizon products: 2023 448 + 272 + 65 + 164 = 949; 2024 1,851 + 1,185 + 379 + 758 = 4,173; 2025 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 719 = 4,617, 4,617 / 27,800 = 16.6%; Q2 2026 576 + 400 + 335 + 149 = 1,460, x4 = 5,840. TEPEZZA + KRYSTEXXA 2025 1,903 + 1,340 = 3,243; KRYSTEXXA 1,340 / 1,185 - 1 = 13.1%; TEPEZZA 1,903 / 1,851 - 1 = 2.8%; UPLIZNA 655 / 379 - 1 = 72.8%; H1 2026 262 + 335 = 597; ultra-rare 719 / 758 - 1 = -5.1%; UPLIZNA + ultra-rare 655 + 719 = 1,374. TAVNEOS H1 2026 119 + 150 = 269. Acquisitions: 13.4 + 3.9 + 27.8 = 45.1 bn; acquired products 2025 2,265 + 459 + 4,617 = 7,341, 7,341 / 36,751 = 20%. Interest 2,755 / 9,080 = 30%. Net debt 30 June 2026: 57.3 - 13.989 = 43.3 bn. Goodwill + intangibles 18,680 + 22,276 = 40,956, 40,956 / 90,586 = 45%. EPS gap 21.84 - 14.23 = 7.61. R&D 7,272 / 4,784 - 1 = 52%; 7,272 / 36,751 = 19.8%. Growth drivers 2025: Repatha 3,016 + EVENITY 2,100 + TEZSPIRE 1,478 + BLINCYTO 1,559 = 8,153 (2024: 2,222 + 1,563 + 972 + 1,216 = 5,973; 2023: 1,635 + 1,160 + 567 + 861 = 4,223; 2021: 1,117 + 530 + 0 + 472 = 2,119; 2019: 661 + 189 + 0 + 312 = 1,162); 8,153 / 5,973 - 1 = 36.5%, about 37%; 8,153 / 36,751 = 22%. Repatha 3,016 / 661 = 4.6 times, 3,016 / 2,222 - 1 = 36%; EVENITY 2,100 / 189 = 11 times; BLINCYTO 1,559 / 312 = 5.0 times. KYPROLIS 1,412 / 1,503 - 1 = -6%; KYPROLIS + Nplate 1,412 + 1,524 = 2,936, 2,936 / 6,660 = 44%; BLINCYTO + IMDELLTRA 1,559 + 627 = 2,186; Q2 2026 472 + 288 = 760. IMDELLTRA run rate 288 x 4 = 1,152, 1,152 / 6,498 = 18%. Biosimilars: 2025 AMJEVITA 597 + PAVBLU 700 + WEZLANA 273 + MVASI 771 + in other products 683 = 3,024; 3,024 / 35,148 = 8.6% of product sales; 3,024 / 36,751 = 8.2% of total revenues; PAVBLU 700 / 3,024 = 23%; AMJEVITA 597 / 761 - 1 = -22%; band 2022 1,831 / 2,177 - 1 = -16%; in other products 683 / 667 - 1 = 2%; WEZLANA and other biosimilars added (273 - 27) + (683 - 667) = 262; Q2 2026 155 + 287 + 61 + 153 + 199 = 855; Q2 2025 133 + 130 + 35 + 191 + 172 = 661; 855 / 661 - 1 = 29%; shares of total revenues 568 / 23,362 = 2.4% (2019), 2,177 / 25,979 = 8.4% (2021), 1,916 / 28,190 = 6.8% (2023). Bands 2025: general medicine and bone 3,016 + 2,100 + 4,414 + 2,084 = 11,614 (31.6%); inflammation and rare disease 2,226 + 2,265 + 1,478 + 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 459 + 719 = 11,045 (30.1%); oncology 1,559 + 627 + 1,175 + 1,412 + 363 + 1,524 = 6,660 (18.1%); biosimilars 3,024 (8.2%); established and other 1,389 + 435 + 353 + (1,311 - 683 = 628) + 1,603 = 4,408 (12.0%); total 36,751. 2019 bands 5,457; 5,404; 2,895; 568; 9,038; total 23,362. General medicine 11,614 / 5,457 = 2.1 times, 11,614 / 10,384 - 1 = 11.8%; inflammation 2020 7,191, 2024 10,870 / 7,535 - 1 = 44%, 2025 11,045 / 10,870 - 1 = 1.6%, non-ENBREL-Otezla 11,045 - 4,491 = 6,554; oncology 6,660 / 2,895 = 2.3 times, 6,660 / 5,685 - 1 = 17.2%; established 4,408 / 9,038 = 0.49. Q2 bands 2026 vs 2025: general medicine 953 + 714 + 759 + 352 = 2,778 vs 696 + 518 + 1,122 + 532 = 2,868, down 3%; Repatha + EVENITY 1,667 vs 1,214; denosumab 1,111 vs 1,654, down 33%; inflammation 3,167 vs 604 + 618 + 342 + 505 + 349 + 176 + 110 + 183 = 2,887, up 9.7%; oncology 1,953 vs 384 + 134 + 305 + 378 + 90 + 369 = 1,660, up 17.7%; established and other 632 + (351 - 199) + 517 = 1,301 vs 359 + 82 + 92 + (334 - 172) + 408 = 1,103, up 18%. Denosumab 2025 4,414 + 2,084 = 6,498, 6,498 / 36,751 = 17.7%; Q1 2026 727 + 411 = 1,138; H1 2026 1,486 + 763 = 2,249 vs 2,221 + 1,098 = 3,319. Neulasta 435 / 4,534 - 1 = -90%. Geography: US 25,656 / 35,148 = 73%; rest of world 9,492 / 35,148 = 27.0%; Q2 2026 2,547 / 9,537 = 26.7%; AMJEVITA 129 / 155 = 83.2%; Aranesp 258 / 352 = 73.3%; ENBREL 6 / 580 = 1.0%. Novartis-facing 2025 3,016 + 2,265 + 2,226 + 1,524 + 1,478 = 10,509, 10,509 / 36,751 = 29%. Other revenues 1,603 / 36,751 = 4.4%. Receivables 9,570 / 6,782 - 1 = 41%. Guidance midpoints: (37.0 + 38.4) / 2 = 37.7; (37.1 + 38.5) / 2 = 37.8; (38.2 + 39.4) / 2 = 38.8; non-GAAP EPS (22.30 + 23.50) / 2 = 22.90. IRS: 3.6 + 5.1 + 2.0 = 10.7 bn before interest; offsets 0.9 + 2.2 = 3.1 bn; 10.7 / 7.711 = 1.4 times 2025 net income; 10.7 / 224.15 = 4.8% of market value. Trailing free cash flow 8,100 - 2,891 + 4,966 = 10,175; 10,175 / 224,150 = 4.5%. Shares 538.8 / 629.6 - 1 = -14%. Gross margin (total revenues - cost of sales) / total revenues: (28,190 - 8,451) / 28,190 = 70.0% (2023); (33,424 - 12,858) / 33,424 = 61.5% (2024); (36,751 - 12,037) / 36,751 = 67.2% (2025). Pre-tax income 2025 7,711 + 1,265 = 8,976. Total revenues 36,751 / 21,662 = 1.70 times 2015. Market value 224.15 / 176.25 - 1 = 27% in 2026; added 224.15 - 176.25 = 47.9 bn against 176.25 - 122.45 = 53.8 bn in 2015-2025. Trailing net income 7,711 - 3,162 + 4,194 = 8,743; trailing revenue 36,751 - 17,328 + 18,672 = 38,095 - revenue mix, concentration and geography. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Amgen's Forms 10-K, 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  7. ReportedAmgen bills at list price and gives back rebates and chargebacks, which took 54% of gross product sales in 2025, $41,983 million, against 41% in 2019.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 7 MD&A: product sales, sales deductions and customer concentration. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedAmgen bills at list price and gives back rebates and chargebacks, which took 54% of gross product sales in 2025, $41,983 million, against 41% in 2019.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2021 - sales deductions of 41%, 44% and 47% of gross product sales for 2019-2021, and the 2018-2021 share count. — FY2021 · publ. February 2022 · source ↗
  9. ReportedGrowth now comes from volume: product sales rose 10% on 13% more volume and 3% lower prices.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 7 MD&A: product sales, sales deductions and customer concentration. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedThree wholesalers carry 77% of gross revenues.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 7 MD&A: product sales, sales deductions and customer concentration. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  11. ReportedOtezla cost $13.4 billion in 2019 and Horizon about $27.8 billion in 2023, and debt was $57.3 billion in June 2026.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2020 - the Otezla acquisition from Celgene for $13.4 billion in cash. — FY2020 · publ. February 2021 · source ↗
  12. ReportedOtezla cost $13.4 billion in 2019 and Horizon about $27.8 billion in 2023, and debt was $57.3 billion in June 2026.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2023 - the Horizon and ChemoCentryx acquisitions, their purchase-price allocation and the debt that funded them; sales deductions for 2021-2023. — FY2023 · publ. February 2024 · source ↗
  13. ReportedOtezla cost $13.4 billion in 2019 and Horizon about $27.8 billion in 2023, and debt was $57.3 billion in June 2026.
    Amgen second-quarter 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - financial results, margins, cash flow and 2026 guidance. — Q2 2026 · publ. 4 August 2026 · source ↗
  14. ReportedReported diluted earnings were $14.23 a share in 2025 against $21.84 on Amgen's own measure, the difference being mostly acquisition costs.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - financial statements and notes: earnings, cash flow, debt, intangibles and impairments. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  15. ReportedReported diluted earnings were $14.23 a share in 2025 against $21.84 on Amgen's own measure, the difference being mostly acquisition costs.
    Amgen fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - product sales for 2024-2025, non-GAAP EPS and 2026 guidance. — FY2025 · publ. 3 February 2026 · source ↗
  16. ReportedProlia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 2025 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 2027; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1 patents, biosimilars and competitors. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  17. ReportedProlia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 2025 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 2027; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS.
    Amgen second-quarter 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - product sales performance: Repatha, EVENITY, Prolia and XGEVA. — Q2 2026 · publ. 4 August 2026 · source ↗
  18. ReportedProlia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 2025 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 2027; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1A risk factors, government pricing and legal proceedings including the IRS dispute. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  19. Moat Explorer calcProlia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 2025 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 2027; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Amgen's reported product sales and financial statements ($ millions unless stated). Sales deductions: 2019 rebates 6,825 + chargebacks 7,090 + other 1,292 = 15,207; 2025 21,697 + 16,988 + 3,298 = 41,983; 41,983 / 35,148 = 1.19 times net product sales; implied gross product sales 35,148 + 41,983 = 77,131. Growth 2019-2025: deductions 41,983 / 15,207 = 2.76 times; net product sales 35,148 / 22,204 = 1.58 times (up 58%); rebates 21,697 / 6,825 = 3.18 times; chargebacks 16,988 / 7,090 = 2.4 times. Wholesalers 2025 gross: 26,253 + 20,986 + 12,562 = 59,801; 59,801 / 36,751 = 1.63 times total revenues; McKesson 26,253 / 36,751 = 71%. ENBREL: 2,226 / 5,433 - 1 = -59%; share of product sales 5,226 / 22,204 = 23.5% (2019), 2,226 / 35,148 = 6.3% (2025). ENBREL + Otezla 2025: 2,226 + 2,265 = 4,491; 4,491 / 36,751 = 12%. Otezla sales 2020-2025: 2,195 + 2,249 + 2,288 + 2,188 + 2,126 + 2,265 = 13,311; impairment 1,200 / 13,400 = 9%. Horizon products: 2023 448 + 272 + 65 + 164 = 949; 2024 1,851 + 1,185 + 379 + 758 = 4,173; 2025 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 719 = 4,617, 4,617 / 27,800 = 16.6%; Q2 2026 576 + 400 + 335 + 149 = 1,460, x4 = 5,840. TEPEZZA + KRYSTEXXA 2025 1,903 + 1,340 = 3,243; KRYSTEXXA 1,340 / 1,185 - 1 = 13.1%; TEPEZZA 1,903 / 1,851 - 1 = 2.8%; UPLIZNA 655 / 379 - 1 = 72.8%; H1 2026 262 + 335 = 597; ultra-rare 719 / 758 - 1 = -5.1%; UPLIZNA + ultra-rare 655 + 719 = 1,374. TAVNEOS H1 2026 119 + 150 = 269. Acquisitions: 13.4 + 3.9 + 27.8 = 45.1 bn; acquired products 2025 2,265 + 459 + 4,617 = 7,341, 7,341 / 36,751 = 20%. Interest 2,755 / 9,080 = 30%. Net debt 30 June 2026: 57.3 - 13.989 = 43.3 bn. Goodwill + intangibles 18,680 + 22,276 = 40,956, 40,956 / 90,586 = 45%. EPS gap 21.84 - 14.23 = 7.61. R&D 7,272 / 4,784 - 1 = 52%; 7,272 / 36,751 = 19.8%. Growth drivers 2025: Repatha 3,016 + EVENITY 2,100 + TEZSPIRE 1,478 + BLINCYTO 1,559 = 8,153 (2024: 2,222 + 1,563 + 972 + 1,216 = 5,973; 2023: 1,635 + 1,160 + 567 + 861 = 4,223; 2021: 1,117 + 530 + 0 + 472 = 2,119; 2019: 661 + 189 + 0 + 312 = 1,162); 8,153 / 5,973 - 1 = 36.5%, about 37%; 8,153 / 36,751 = 22%. Repatha 3,016 / 661 = 4.6 times, 3,016 / 2,222 - 1 = 36%; EVENITY 2,100 / 189 = 11 times; BLINCYTO 1,559 / 312 = 5.0 times. KYPROLIS 1,412 / 1,503 - 1 = -6%; KYPROLIS + Nplate 1,412 + 1,524 = 2,936, 2,936 / 6,660 = 44%; BLINCYTO + IMDELLTRA 1,559 + 627 = 2,186; Q2 2026 472 + 288 = 760. IMDELLTRA run rate 288 x 4 = 1,152, 1,152 / 6,498 = 18%. Biosimilars: 2025 AMJEVITA 597 + PAVBLU 700 + WEZLANA 273 + MVASI 771 + in other products 683 = 3,024; 3,024 / 35,148 = 8.6% of product sales; 3,024 / 36,751 = 8.2% of total revenues; PAVBLU 700 / 3,024 = 23%; AMJEVITA 597 / 761 - 1 = -22%; band 2022 1,831 / 2,177 - 1 = -16%; in other products 683 / 667 - 1 = 2%; WEZLANA and other biosimilars added (273 - 27) + (683 - 667) = 262; Q2 2026 155 + 287 + 61 + 153 + 199 = 855; Q2 2025 133 + 130 + 35 + 191 + 172 = 661; 855 / 661 - 1 = 29%; shares of total revenues 568 / 23,362 = 2.4% (2019), 2,177 / 25,979 = 8.4% (2021), 1,916 / 28,190 = 6.8% (2023). Bands 2025: general medicine and bone 3,016 + 2,100 + 4,414 + 2,084 = 11,614 (31.6%); inflammation and rare disease 2,226 + 2,265 + 1,478 + 1,903 + 1,340 + 655 + 459 + 719 = 11,045 (30.1%); oncology 1,559 + 627 + 1,175 + 1,412 + 363 + 1,524 = 6,660 (18.1%); biosimilars 3,024 (8.2%); established and other 1,389 + 435 + 353 + (1,311 - 683 = 628) + 1,603 = 4,408 (12.0%); total 36,751. 2019 bands 5,457; 5,404; 2,895; 568; 9,038; total 23,362. General medicine 11,614 / 5,457 = 2.1 times, 11,614 / 10,384 - 1 = 11.8%; inflammation 2020 7,191, 2024 10,870 / 7,535 - 1 = 44%, 2025 11,045 / 10,870 - 1 = 1.6%, non-ENBREL-Otezla 11,045 - 4,491 = 6,554; oncology 6,660 / 2,895 = 2.3 times, 6,660 / 5,685 - 1 = 17.2%; established 4,408 / 9,038 = 0.49. Q2 bands 2026 vs 2025: general medicine 953 + 714 + 759 + 352 = 2,778 vs 696 + 518 + 1,122 + 532 = 2,868, down 3%; Repatha + EVENITY 1,667 vs 1,214; denosumab 1,111 vs 1,654, down 33%; inflammation 3,167 vs 604 + 618 + 342 + 505 + 349 + 176 + 110 + 183 = 2,887, up 9.7%; oncology 1,953 vs 384 + 134 + 305 + 378 + 90 + 369 = 1,660, up 17.7%; established and other 632 + (351 - 199) + 517 = 1,301 vs 359 + 82 + 92 + (334 - 172) + 408 = 1,103, up 18%. Denosumab 2025 4,414 + 2,084 = 6,498, 6,498 / 36,751 = 17.7%; Q1 2026 727 + 411 = 1,138; H1 2026 1,486 + 763 = 2,249 vs 2,221 + 1,098 = 3,319. Neulasta 435 / 4,534 - 1 = -90%. Geography: US 25,656 / 35,148 = 73%; rest of world 9,492 / 35,148 = 27.0%; Q2 2026 2,547 / 9,537 = 26.7%; AMJEVITA 129 / 155 = 83.2%; Aranesp 258 / 352 = 73.3%; ENBREL 6 / 580 = 1.0%. Novartis-facing 2025 3,016 + 2,265 + 2,226 + 1,524 + 1,478 = 10,509, 10,509 / 36,751 = 29%. Other revenues 1,603 / 36,751 = 4.4%. Receivables 9,570 / 6,782 - 1 = 41%. Guidance midpoints: (37.0 + 38.4) / 2 = 37.7; (37.1 + 38.5) / 2 = 37.8; (38.2 + 39.4) / 2 = 38.8; non-GAAP EPS (22.30 + 23.50) / 2 = 22.90. IRS: 3.6 + 5.1 + 2.0 = 10.7 bn before interest; offsets 0.9 + 2.2 = 3.1 bn; 10.7 / 7.711 = 1.4 times 2025 net income; 10.7 / 224.15 = 4.8% of market value. Trailing free cash flow 8,100 - 2,891 + 4,966 = 10,175; 10,175 / 224,150 = 4.5%. Shares 538.8 / 629.6 - 1 = -14%. Gross margin (total revenues - cost of sales) / total revenues: (28,190 - 8,451) / 28,190 = 70.0% (2023); (33,424 - 12,858) / 33,424 = 61.5% (2024); (36,751 - 12,037) / 36,751 = 67.2% (2025). Pre-tax income 2025 7,711 + 1,265 = 8,976. Total revenues 36,751 / 21,662 = 1.70 times 2015. Market value 224.15 / 176.25 - 1 = 27% in 2026; added 224.15 - 176.25 = 47.9 bn against 176.25 - 122.45 = 53.8 bn in 2015-2025. Trailing net income 7,711 - 3,162 + 4,194 = 8,743; trailing revenue 36,751 - 17,328 + 18,672 = 38,095 - balance sheet, cash flow, tax dispute and valuation. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Amgen's Forms 10-K, 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  20. ReportedProlia and XGEVA lost their key American patents in February 2025 and fell by a third in the second quarter of 2026; Medicare sets ENBREL's price from 2026 and Otezla's from 2027; the IRS asserts about $10.7 billion of tax and penalties over Puerto Rico; the FDA has proposed withdrawing TAVNEOS.
    Amgen Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 - product sales, the TAVNEOS proceeding, the IRS dispute, the BeOne stake and the balance sheet. — Q2 2026 · publ. 5 August 2026 · source ↗
  21. ReportedAgainst them, six growth drivers grew 26%.
    Amgen second-quarter 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - product sales performance: inflammation, rare disease and established products, and sales by region. — Q2 2026 · publ. 4 August 2026 · source ↗
  22. ReportedIn the second quarter of 2026 total revenues rose 10% to $10,054 million.
    Amgen second-quarter 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - product sales performance: inflammation, rare disease and established products, and sales by region. — Q2 2026 · publ. 4 August 2026 · source ↗
  23. ReportedThe shares closed at $414.61 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $224.15 billion, 25.76 times trailing and 17.65 times forward earnings.
    Amgen (AMGN) market data - previous close $414.61 (25 September 2026), 52-week high $447.03, analyst target $388.43, dividend $10.08. — September 2026 · publ. 28 September 2026 · source ↗
  24. ReportedThe shares closed at $414.61 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $224.15 billion, 25.76 times trailing and 17.65 times forward earnings.
    CompaniesMarketCap - Amgen market cap $224.15 billion. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  25. ReportedThe shares closed at $414.61 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $224.15 billion, 25.76 times trailing and 17.65 times forward earnings.
    Amgen (AMGN) statistics - market cap $224.15B, trailing P/E 25.76, forward P/E 17.65, P/S 5.88, P/B 19.18, 540.63 million shares, enterprise value $267.47B, up 48.49% in 52 weeks. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  26. ReportedIt was incorporated in California in 1980 and became a Delaware corporation in 1987, and Robert Bradway has been chief executive since 2012.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2019 - selected financial data for 2015-2019, product sales for 2017-2019 and the 2017 Tax Act charge. — FY2019 · publ. February 2020 · source ↗
  27. ReportedIt was incorporated in California in 1980 and became a Delaware corporation in 1987, and Robert Bradway has been chief executive since 2012.
    Amgen Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1 business: products, collaborations, staff and pipeline. — FY2025 · publ. 13 February 2026 · source ↗
  28. ReportedIts largest shareholders are index and institutional managers, BlackRock with 7.6% and State Street with 5.5% in March 2026, and there is no controlling holder.
    Amgen 2026 proxy statement - holders of more than 5% of the common stock. — March 2026 · publ. 2026 · source ↗
  29. ReportedThe dividend runs at $10.08 a share a year, a yield of 2.43%.
    Amgen dividend data - annual dividend $10.08, yield 2.43%. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  30. ReportedThe finance and technology chiefs both changed in 2026, with Thomas Dittrich becoming chief financial officer on 1 September.
    Amgen Form 8-K, Item 5.02 - Peter Griffith's retirement as chief financial officer and Thomas Dittrich's appointment from 1 September 2026. — May 2026 · publ. 19 May 2026 · source ↗
  31. Moat Explorer calcThe number that would falsify that verdict is return on invested capital, 13.8% in 2025 against 20.6% before Horizon; if it cannot climb back above 15% as the purchased drugs mature, Amgen will have paid more for its growth than the growth is worth.
    Moat Explorer calculation, tools_roic_edgar.py on SEC EDGAR XBRL for CIK 318154: return on invested capital 12.6% (2015), 13.6% (2016), 9.9% (2017), 16.0% (2018), 19.1% (2019), 19.0% (2020), 15.6% (2021), 20.6% (2022), 12.3% (2023), 10.3% (2024), 13.8% (2025). — 2015-2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: NOPAT (operating income x (1 - effective tax rate, clamped 0-35%)) divided by average operating invested capital (total assets less current liabilities less cash and equivalents), from SEC EDGAR XBRL via tools_roic_edgar.py. Marketable securities are not deducted, which depresses 2015-2018, when Amgen held tens of billions of them; the 2023 fall is the $27.8 billion Horizon purchase entering invested capital.
Sources
Generated September 28, 2026