✦ Global Markets AbroadThin moat

Bank of America (BAC) — the future bets

Bank of America is growing its markets business abroad, where it has none of the deposit advantages it enjoys at home.

One of the investor-day themes was growth outside the United States, and the markets business is where it shows first. Global Markets international revenue increased 38% in the second quarter of 20261, and the chief financial officer said on the call that the result was consistent with the bank's investor-day messaging of continuing its improved performance internationally2.

Global Markets average VaR ($M)84Q2 202549Q2 2026Bank of America Q2 2026 results release
More revenue abroad, less risk taken.

The bank operates in more than 35 countries and jurisdictions3, and its markets business runs through broker-dealers including Merrill Lynch International and BofA Securities Europe SA4. Global Markets revenue was $8,022 million and net income $2,626 million in the second quarter of 20265.

International growth broadens the markets business away from the American cycle, but it does not broaden the deposit moat. The bank's financial centers are all in 38 states and the District of Columbia6, so abroad it competes without its consumer franchise.

That makes the international push a bet on the most cyclical revenue the bank has, in markets where it has no home advantage. Average value-at-risk was $49 million in the second quarter of 2026 against $84 million a year earlier7, so the growth came without more trading risk.

The international push extends a business that is already large. Global Markets revenue was $24,096 million in 20258, and the first half of 2026 brought $15,131 million91011, on pace for a record year.

The international revenue growth rate is the measure. Continued double-digit growth through a quieter market year would show real client wins; a reversal would say 2026 was a good year rather than a new franchise.

Moat trajectory: Widening

International markets revenue +38% in Q2 2026.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Global Markets net income, latest quarter
$2,626M (Q2 2026)

Profit from the markets push including abroad; a fall in a quieter year would show how cyclical the growth is.

Source: Bank of America Q2 2026 earnings release ↗
References
  1. ReportedGlobal Markets international revenue increased 38% in the second quarter of 2026, and the chief financial officer said on the call that the result was consistent with the bank's investor-day messaging of continuing its improved performance internationally.
    Bank of America second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment results, returns on allocated capital and business highlights. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  2. ReportedGlobal Markets international revenue increased 38% in the second quarter of 2026, and the chief financial officer said on the call that the result was consistent with the bank's investor-day messaging of continuing its improved performance internationally.
    Bank of America second-quarter 2026 earnings call transcript. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedThe bank operates in more than 35 countries and jurisdictions, and its markets business runs through broker-dealers including Merrill Lynch International and BofA Securities Europe SA.
    Bank of America Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - business segment note and segment key statistics. — FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedThe bank operates in more than 35 countries and jurisdictions, and its markets business runs through broker-dealers including Merrill Lynch International and BofA Securities Europe SA.
    Bank of America Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - business segment note and segment key statistics. — FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  5. ReportedGlobal Markets revenue was $8,022 million and net income $2,626 million in the second quarter of 2026.
    Bank of America second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment results, returns on allocated capital and business highlights. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedThe bank's financial centers are all in 38 states and the District of Columbia, so abroad it competes without its consumer franchise.
    Bank of America Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - Item 1 business: footprint, clients and employees. — FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedAverage value-at-risk was $49 million in the second quarter of 2026 against $84 million a year earlier, so the growth came without more trading risk.
    Bank of America second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment results, returns on allocated capital and business highlights. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedGlobal Markets revenue was $24,096 million in 2025, and the first half of 2026 brought $15,131 million, on pace for a record year.
    Bank of America Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - business segment note and segment key statistics. — FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedGlobal Markets revenue was $24,096 million in 2025, and the first half of 2026 brought $15,131 million, on pace for a record year.
    Bank of America second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment results, returns on allocated capital and business highlights. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedGlobal Markets revenue was $24,096 million in 2025, and the first half of 2026 brought $15,131 million, on pace for a record year.
    Bank of America first-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1. — Q1 2026 · publ. April 2026 · source ↗
  11. Moat Explorer calcGlobal Markets revenue was $24,096 million in 2025, and the first half of 2026 brought $15,131 million, on pace for a record year.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Bank of America's reported figures ($ millions unless stated). Deposits: cost of total deposits = interest on interest-bearing deposits / (average interest-bearing + average noninterest-bearing deposits): 2019 7,188 / 1,380,326 = 0.52%; 2021 537 / 1,914,286 = 0.03%; 2022 4,718 / 1,986,158 = 0.24%; 2023 26,163 / 1,887,541 = 1.39%; 2024 38,442 / 1,924,106 = 2.00%; 2025 34,513 / 1,984,182 = 1.74% (1,469,705 + 514,477 = 1,984,182, about $1.98 trillion). Average total deposits 2015 1,155,860; 2021 1,914,286; 2022 1,986,158 (about $1.99 trillion); 2015 to 2025 1,984,182 / 1,155,860 - 1 = 72%. Noninterest-bearing share 744,035 / 1,914,286 = 38.9% (2021); 514,477 / 1,984,182 = 25.9% (2025). Noninterest-bearing decline 751,470 - 514,477 = 236,993 (about $237 billion). JPMorgan comparison: deposit cost gap 1.80% - 1.74% = 0.06 points; 0.0006 x 1,984,182 = about 1,190 (about $1.2 billion). JPMorgan revenue per dollar of average deposits 182,447 / 2,506,565 = 7.3 cents; Bank of America 113,097 / 1,984,182 = 5.7 cents. JPMorgan year-end deposits 2,559,320 / 2,018,729 - 1 = 27%; revenue 182,447 / 113,097 - 1 = 61%; market value 935.79 / 391.80 = 2.4 times. Net income margin JPMorgan 57,048 / 182,447 = 31.3%; Bank of America 30,509 / 113,097 = 27.0%. Efficiency gap 61.65% - 52% = 9.65 points x 113,097 = about 10,914 (about $10.9 billion). Loans to deposits 1,185,700 / 2,018,729 = 58.7%. Uninsured deposits 723.0 + 134.9 = 857.9 billion; 857.9 / 2,018.7 = 42.5%; insured and other 2,018.7 - 857.9 = 1,160.8 billion. Consumer deposits per checking account 957.0 billion / 38.7 million = about $24,700. Securities: held-to-maturity unrealised loss as a share of common equity 108,596 / 244,800 = 44% (2022); 82,094 / 276,100 = 30% (June 2026). Held-to-maturity amortised cost 2021 674,591 - 2025 522,685 = 151,906 (about $152 billion); 2020 438,279 to 2021 674,591 = +236,312 (about $236 billion); 2021 fair value 665,890 - cost 674,591 = -8,701. Runoff time 505,828 / 34,794 = 14.5 years. Agency MBS share of loss 67,309 / 80,257 = 84%. Net interest income H1 31,742 / 29,113 - 1 = 9.0%. Capital: CET1 headroom (11.2% - 10.0%) x 1,792 billion = about 21.5 billion; 2027 minimum 4.5% + 3.5% + 2.5% = 10.5%. Capital returned 2025 (8.1 + 21.433) / 29.055 = 101% of net income to common. Average diluted shares 7,680.9 / 11,236.2 - 1 = -31.6%. EPS growth (3.81 / 1.31)^(1/10) - 1 = 11.3% a year. Price to tangible book 56.03 / 29.37 = 1.91. Revenue 2023 102,769 to 2025 113,097 = +10%. Compensation 42,346 / 69,727 = 61% of noninterest expense. Financial centers 3,530 / 3,664 - 1 = -3.7%. Noninterest expense Q2 2026 18,627 / 17,183 - 1 = 8.4%. Berkshire holding 483,394,015 / 1,032,852,006 - 1 = -53%. Investment banking fees Q2 2025 implied 2.1 / 1.5 = 1.4 billion. Segments (FTE, 2025): segment revenue 43,673 + 24,883 + 24,108 + 24,096 = 116,760; less All Other 3,054 = 113,706; less FTE adjustment 609 = 113,097. Shares of total FTE revenue: Consumer 43,673 / 113,706 = 38.4%; GWIM 24,883 / 113,706 = 21.9%. Shares of net income 30,509: Consumer 12,245 = 40.1%; Global Banking 7,793 = 25.5%; Global Markets 6,111 = 20.0%; GWIM 4,670 = 15.3%. Net income margins: Consumer 12,245 / 43,673 = 28.0%; GWIM 4,670 / 24,883 = 18.8% (2024 4,263 / 22,929 = 18.6%; 2023 3,947 / 21,105 = 18.7%); Global Banking 7,793 / 24,108 = 32.3%; Global Markets 6,111 / 24,096 = 25.4%. Consumer net interest income 35,309 / 43,673 = 81%; Consumer provision 4,649 / 5,675 = 82%. Growth 2023-2025: Consumer 43,673 / 42,031 - 1 = 3.9%; GWIM 24,883 / 21,105 - 1 = 17.9%; Global Markets 24,096 / 19,533 - 1 = 23.4%; Global Banking net income 7,793 / 10,072 - 1 = -23%. Consumer H1 2026 revenue 11,336 + 11,049 = 22,385. GWIM net interest income 7,197 / 24,883 = 29%. Revenue per dollar of year-end assets: Global Markets 24,096 / 1,032,858 = 2.3 cents; Consumer 43,673 / 1,039,346 = 4.2 cents. GWIM client balances 4,751,394 / 4,252,106 - 1 = 11.7%, increase 499,288; net flows 81,997 / 4,252,106 = 1.9%; consumer investment assets 639.5 / 599.1 - 1 = 6.7%. Revenue per dollar of balances: Private Bank 4,167 / 759,082 = 0.55%; Merrill 20,716 / 3,992,312 = 0.52%; Private Bank share of GWIM balances 759,082 / 4,751,394 = 16% and revenue 4,167 / 24,883 = 17%. Investment and brokerage services 19,956 / 17,766 - 1 = 12.3%. Common equity 277,251 / total assets 3,411,738 = 8.1%. AUM net flows 81,997 / 2,177,708 = 3.8%. Held-to-maturity loss 2023 97,994 / 263,249 = 37%. Share price 56.03 / 52-week high 65.23 - 1 = -14%. First half 2026 (Q1 + Q2): Consumer Banking revenue 11,049 + 11,336 = 22,385 and net income 3,060 + 3,281 = 6,341; Global Banking net income 2,087 + 2,046 = 4,133; Global Markets revenue 7,109 + 8,022 = 15,131 - segment shares, margins and growth. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Bank of America's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, earnings releases, JPMorgan's 10-K, Berkshire 13F tables and market data; operands shown in the source line.
Sources
Generated September 25, 2026