⚠ Video Keeps LeavingLow threat
Verizon (VZ) — threat to the moat
Fios television lost 9.1% of its customers in 2025, a runoff that internet growth only just covered.
The part of Fios that used to justify the fibre is disappearing. Fios video connections fell 9.1% in 2025 to 2,441 thousand1. The 10-K describes the product as including "video on demand products, cloud-based services and digital video recording capabilities"2, a bundle that streaming services have been unpicking for a decade.
Video still brings in revenue, but the programming costs rise with it, and every lost video customer takes revenue with little cost saving on the network. Fios revenue held at $11,678 million only because internet made up for it3.
Verizon's answer is to stop depending on video: the "Verizon One converged offerings" pair broadband with phones rather than with television4. That is the right move, and it means video is now a runoff.
The 10-K expects the shift to continue: "We expect the market will continue to shift from traditional linear video" to streaming5. Every Fios video customer lost is also a customer whose programming costs Verizon no longer carries, so the effect on profit is smaller than on revenue.
Under 2 million video connections, the runoff would be large enough to pull Fios revenue down even with internet growth.
- ReportedFios video connections fell 9.1% in 2025 to 2,441 thousand.Verizon fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99 - full-year operating statistics, segment EBITDA, free cash flow 2020-2025 and 2026 guidance - operating statistics: connections, net additions, churn, ARPA, Fios and fixed wireless. — FY2025 · publ. 30 January 2026 · source ↗
- ReportedThe 10-K describes the product as including "video on demand products, cloud-based services and digital video recording capabilities", a bundle that streaming services have been unpicking for a decade.Verizon Communications Inc. Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1 business: services, networks, employees and the Frontier and Starry acquisitions. — FY2025 · publ. 17 February 2026 · source ↗
- ReportedFios revenue held at $11,678 million only because internet made up for it.Verizon fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99 - full-year operating statistics, segment EBITDA, free cash flow 2020-2025 and 2026 guidance - operating statistics: connections, net additions, churn, ARPA, Fios and fixed wireless. — FY2025 · publ. 30 January 2026 · source ↗
- ReportedVerizon's answer is to stop depending on video: the "Verizon One converged offerings" pair broadband with phones rather than with television.Verizon second-quarter 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99 - consolidated and segment results, operating statistics, cash flow, balance sheet and guidance - broadband statistics: fiber and fixed wireless connections and net additions. — Q2 2026 · publ. 24 July 2026 · source ↗
- ReportedThe 10-K expects the shift to continue: "We expect the market will continue to shift from traditional linear video" to streaming.Verizon Communications Inc. Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1 business: services, networks, employees and the Frontier and Starry acquisitions. — FY2025 · publ. 17 February 2026 · source ↗