⚠ A Territory Measured in Single RobotsLow threat

Synektik (SNT) — threat to the moat

Synektik's Baltic business is two robots, and the foreign share of revenue fell to a fifth.

The Baltic market is small, and so far its contracts are counted one at a time. A single Estonian robot with a decade of service and consumables is worth about 41 million złoty1; the group's revenue in the twelve months to June 2026 was about 933 million złoty2.

Synektik revenue by destination, FY2025 (zł m)497,9Poland183,7ExportSynektik audited consolidated statements, year to September 2025
Poland is nearly three-quarters of sales.

Abroad as a whole, Synektik is shrinking as a share. Export sales were 183,7 million złoty of 681,6 million złoty in the year to September 20253, about 27%4; after nine months of the current year the company puts the foreign share at about 21%5. Poland grew faster, which is good news, but it means the target of around 30%6 needs foreign growth well above the home market's.

Every Baltic sale is also a public tender7, won one hospital at a time, and a hospital that has bought a robot does not buy another next year. Three more installations in talks8 would more than double the region.

The Baltic states are also small in the measure that matters for tracers and scanners: Estonia has two PET scanners, 1,5 per million people9. The equipment and procedures there will be counted in units for years.

If the foreign share of revenue is still near a fifth in two years, the Baltic states will have been a footnote.

References
  1. ReportedA single Estonian robot with a decade of service and consumables is worth about 41 million złoty; the group's revenue in the twelve months to June 2026 was about 933 million złoty.
    Synektik press release, 17 September 2026: 'Synektik signs first contract in Estonia. Another step in the Baltic states expansion' - EUR 9,4 million including nine years of maintenance and ten years of consumables; 142 systems (100 in Poland, 42 in Czechia and Slovakia); the Ukraine plan; targets for foreign and recurring revenue. — September 2026 · publ. 17 September 2026 · source ↗
  2. Moat Explorer calcA single Estonian robot with a decade of service and consumables is worth about 41 million złoty; the group's revenue in the twelve months to June 2026 was about 933 million złoty.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Synektik's reported figures (thousands of złoty unless stated). Market value: 352,60 złoty x 8 529 129 shares = 3 007,4 million złoty (about 3,0 billion złoty); at the NBP rate of 3,8570 = $779,7 million (about $780 million). Trailing revenue to June 2026: 681 598,6 - 482 060,1 + 733 427,1 = 932 965,6 (about 933 million złoty). Trailing continuing net profit: 126 019,2 - 85 705,2 + 137 952,7 = 178 266,7; over 8 529 129 shares = 20,90 złoty; P/E 352,60 / 20,90 = 16,9. Equipment and IT segment EBITDA over segment revenue: 187 190,7 / 631 915,5 = 29,6% (FY2025); 143 577,5 / 579 299,1 = 24,8% (FY2024); 98 943,8 / 410 834,1 = 24,1% (FY2023); 29 865,3 / 139 272,7 = 21,4% (FY2022); 18 636,4 / 100 878,6 = 18,5% (FY2021); 19 605,9 / 112 126,1 = 17,5% (FY2019). Radiopharmaceutical segment EBITDA margin: 16 061,3 / 52 937,4 = 30,3% (FY2025); 16 276,6 / 46 615,7 = 34,9% (FY2024). Recurring revenue, trailing: 374,7 / 59,8 = 6,3 times (September 2022 to June 2026); installed base 142 / 37 = 3,8 times. Recurring revenue per year-end robot: 311,3 / 113 = 2,75 million złoty (FY2025); 193,9 / 86 = 2,25 million złoty (FY2024). Procedures per year-end robot, FY2025: Poland 19 800 / 75 = 264; Czechia and Slovakia 12 500 / 38 = 329. Revenue per average employee: 681,6 / 221 = 3,08 million złoty. Export share: 183,7 / 681,6 = 27,0%. Equipment segment share of revenue excluding intragroup sales: 631,1 / 681,6 = 92,6% (about 93%). Intuitive products: 44,9% x 681,6 = 306,0 million złoty; other equipment, IT and service 681,6 - 306,0 - 50,5 = 325,1 million złoty. Synektik market value over the Estonian contract: 3 007,4 / 41 = 73 (roughly seventy). Dividend paid February 2026: 10,75 x 8 529 129 = 91,7 million złoty; dividend per share 10,75 / 0,45 = 23,9 times since 2021. Free cash flow: FY2025 78,3 - 17,4 = 60,9 million złoty; FY2024 89,6 - 44,9 = 44,7 million złoty. IT4KAN price over market value: 4,15 / 3 007,4 = 0,14%. Recurring revenue, April-June 2025: 103,6 / 1,26 = 82,2 million złoty. Backlog plus active offers at June 2026: 44,2 + 160,8 = 205,0 million złoty. NFZ spending per robotic operation: 59 / 2,1 = 28 thousand złoty (2022); 167 / 5,4 = 31 thousand złoty (2023); 300 / 11 = 27 thousand złoty (2024). NFZ-funded PET studies: 96,1 / 89,3 - 1 = 7,6% (about 8%); per scanner 96 100 / 37 = about 2 600. Affidea: 29,0% x 52,9 = 15,3 million złoty, against segment EBITDA of 16,1 million złoty. Synektik's installed base as a share of Intuitive's: 142 / 11 710 = 1,2%. Czech and Slovak installed base: 42 / 16 = 2,6 times. Equipment segment purchases from others: 100 - 80,2 - 6,8 = 13,0%. Years of exclusivity from September 2026 to 31 December 2031: about 5,3. Year-end P/E and P/S (market value at 30 September over net profit and revenue; continuing profit from FY2024): 122,8 / 9,136 = 13,4 and 122,8 / 134,8 = 0,91 (FY2019); 190,2 / 8,811 = 21,6 and 1,52 (FY2020); 252,5 / 8,384 = 30,1 and 1,96 (FY2021); 237,5 / 10,709 = 22,2 and 1,42 (FY2022); 516,9 / 52,452 = 9,9 and 1,16 (FY2023); 1 635,9 / 98,909 = 16,5 and 2,62 (FY2024); 2 149,3 / 126,019 = 17,1 and 3,15 (FY2025); market values from closing prices of 14,40 złoty, 22,30, 29,60, 27,85, 60,60, 191,80 and 252,00 x 8 529 129. — October 2018 - June 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Synektik's financial statements, management board reports, factsheet and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  3. ReportedExport sales were 183,7 million złoty of 681,6 million złoty in the year to September 2025, about 27%; after nine months of the current year the company puts the foreign share at about 21%.
    Synektik Group audited consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year to 30 September 2025 (ESEF package) - revenue, costs, continuing and discontinued profit, earnings per share, segment note, cash flow. — October 2024 - September 2025 · publ. December 2025 · source ↗
  4. Moat Explorer calcExport sales were 183,7 million złoty of 681,6 million złoty in the year to September 2025, about 27%; after nine months of the current year the company puts the foreign share at about 21%.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Synektik's reported figures (thousands of złoty unless stated). Market value: 352,60 złoty x 8 529 129 shares = 3 007,4 million złoty (about 3,0 billion złoty); at the NBP rate of 3,8570 = $779,7 million (about $780 million). Trailing revenue to June 2026: 681 598,6 - 482 060,1 + 733 427,1 = 932 965,6 (about 933 million złoty). Trailing continuing net profit: 126 019,2 - 85 705,2 + 137 952,7 = 178 266,7; over 8 529 129 shares = 20,90 złoty; P/E 352,60 / 20,90 = 16,9. Equipment and IT segment EBITDA over segment revenue: 187 190,7 / 631 915,5 = 29,6% (FY2025); 143 577,5 / 579 299,1 = 24,8% (FY2024); 98 943,8 / 410 834,1 = 24,1% (FY2023); 29 865,3 / 139 272,7 = 21,4% (FY2022); 18 636,4 / 100 878,6 = 18,5% (FY2021); 19 605,9 / 112 126,1 = 17,5% (FY2019). Radiopharmaceutical segment EBITDA margin: 16 061,3 / 52 937,4 = 30,3% (FY2025); 16 276,6 / 46 615,7 = 34,9% (FY2024). Recurring revenue, trailing: 374,7 / 59,8 = 6,3 times (September 2022 to June 2026); installed base 142 / 37 = 3,8 times. Recurring revenue per year-end robot: 311,3 / 113 = 2,75 million złoty (FY2025); 193,9 / 86 = 2,25 million złoty (FY2024). Procedures per year-end robot, FY2025: Poland 19 800 / 75 = 264; Czechia and Slovakia 12 500 / 38 = 329. Revenue per average employee: 681,6 / 221 = 3,08 million złoty. Export share: 183,7 / 681,6 = 27,0%. Equipment segment share of revenue excluding intragroup sales: 631,1 / 681,6 = 92,6% (about 93%). Intuitive products: 44,9% x 681,6 = 306,0 million złoty; other equipment, IT and service 681,6 - 306,0 - 50,5 = 325,1 million złoty. Synektik market value over the Estonian contract: 3 007,4 / 41 = 73 (roughly seventy). Dividend paid February 2026: 10,75 x 8 529 129 = 91,7 million złoty; dividend per share 10,75 / 0,45 = 23,9 times since 2021. Free cash flow: FY2025 78,3 - 17,4 = 60,9 million złoty; FY2024 89,6 - 44,9 = 44,7 million złoty. IT4KAN price over market value: 4,15 / 3 007,4 = 0,14%. Recurring revenue, April-June 2025: 103,6 / 1,26 = 82,2 million złoty. Backlog plus active offers at June 2026: 44,2 + 160,8 = 205,0 million złoty. NFZ spending per robotic operation: 59 / 2,1 = 28 thousand złoty (2022); 167 / 5,4 = 31 thousand złoty (2023); 300 / 11 = 27 thousand złoty (2024). NFZ-funded PET studies: 96,1 / 89,3 - 1 = 7,6% (about 8%); per scanner 96 100 / 37 = about 2 600. Affidea: 29,0% x 52,9 = 15,3 million złoty, against segment EBITDA of 16,1 million złoty. Synektik's installed base as a share of Intuitive's: 142 / 11 710 = 1,2%. Czech and Slovak installed base: 42 / 16 = 2,6 times. Equipment segment purchases from others: 100 - 80,2 - 6,8 = 13,0%. Years of exclusivity from September 2026 to 31 December 2031: about 5,3. Year-end P/E and P/S (market value at 30 September over net profit and revenue; continuing profit from FY2024): 122,8 / 9,136 = 13,4 and 122,8 / 134,8 = 0,91 (FY2019); 190,2 / 8,811 = 21,6 and 1,52 (FY2020); 252,5 / 8,384 = 30,1 and 1,96 (FY2021); 237,5 / 10,709 = 22,2 and 1,42 (FY2022); 516,9 / 52,452 = 9,9 and 1,16 (FY2023); 1 635,9 / 98,909 = 16,5 and 2,62 (FY2024); 2 149,3 / 126,019 = 17,1 and 3,15 (FY2025); market values from closing prices of 14,40 złoty, 22,30, 29,60, 27,85, 60,60, 191,80 and 252,00 x 8 529 129. — October 2018 - June 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Synektik's financial statements, management board reports, factsheet and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  5. ReportedExport sales were 183,7 million złoty of 681,6 million złoty in the year to September 2025, about 27%; after nine months of the current year the company puts the foreign share at about 21%.
    Synektik press release, 17 September 2026: 'Synektik signs first contract in Estonia. Another step in the Baltic states expansion' - EUR 9,4 million including nine years of maintenance and ten years of consumables; 142 systems (100 in Poland, 42 in Czechia and Slovakia); the Ukraine plan; targets for foreign and recurring revenue. — September 2026 · publ. 17 September 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedPoland grew faster, which is good news, but it means the target of around 30% needs foreign growth well above the home market's.
    Synektik press release, 17 September 2026: 'Synektik signs first contract in Estonia. Another step in the Baltic states expansion' - EUR 9,4 million including nine years of maintenance and ten years of consumables; 142 systems (100 in Poland, 42 in Czechia and Slovakia); the Ukraine plan; targets for foreign and recurring revenue. — September 2026 · publ. 17 September 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedEvery Baltic sale is also a public tender, won one hospital at a time, and a hospital that has bought a robot does not buy another next year.
    Synektik press release, 17 September 2026: 'Synektik signs first contract in Estonia. Another step in the Baltic states expansion' - EUR 9,4 million including nine years of maintenance and ten years of consumables; 142 systems (100 in Poland, 42 in Czechia and Slovakia); the Ukraine plan; targets for foreign and recurring revenue. — September 2026 · publ. 17 September 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedThree more installations in talks would more than double the region.
    Synektik press release, 17 September 2026: 'Synektik signs first contract in Estonia. Another step in the Baltic states expansion' - EUR 9,4 million including nine years of maintenance and ten years of consumables; 142 systems (100 in Poland, 42 in Czechia and Slovakia); the Ukraine plan; targets for foreign and recurring revenue. — September 2026 · publ. 17 September 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedThe Baltic states are also small in the measure that matters for tracers and scanners: Estonia has two PET scanners, 1,5 per million people.
    Synektik annual management board report for the fiscal year to 30 September 2025 - description of the markets: robotic surgery in Poland, PET scanners, cyclotrons and NFZ-funded PET studies. — October 2024 - September 2025 · publ. December 2025 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 24, 2026