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An A-Rated Balance Sheet Behind the LenderNarrow moat

Deere & Company (DE) — moat facet

Deere's finance arm borrows $54.8 billion at 8.6 times equity on the strength of the tractor maker's A ratings and a support agreement.

A lender is only as good as its funding, and Deere's is cheap because the equipment business stands behind it. Deere has an agreement to make payments to Capital Corporation so that its ratio of earnings to fixed charges is not less than 1.05 to 1, and to keep its tangible net worth at not less than $50 million1. No payments were needed in fiscal 2024 or 2025, and Capital Corporation's tangible net worth was $5,929.8 million2.

Deere borrowings at fiscal 2025 year end ($M)54,765Financial Services9,171Equipment operationsDeere Form 10-K FY2025, supplemental consolidating data; short-term, securitization and long-term
Six dollars in seven of Deere's debt belong to the bank.

The group is rated A+ by Fitch, A1 by Moody's and A by S&P, all with stable outlooks3. Those ratings let the finance arm borrow $54,765 million4, about 85.7% of the group's $63,936 million of borrowings5. Its ratio of interest-bearing debt to equity was 8.4 to 1 at the fiscal year end and 8.6 to 1 at 2 August 20266.

That leverage is normal for a bank and extreme for a manufacturer. It works because the loans are short, collateralised by equipment the dealers can resell, and spread across many borrowers. It also explains why Deere's consolidated return on invested capital looks low: the finance arm's $54.8 billion of debt sits in the denominator, as discussed on The Moat.

The support agreement is unconditional in an important way. Deere's obligations to make payments to Capital Corporation "are independent of whether Capital Corporation is in default on its indebtedness"7, and Deere has committed to own at least 51% of its voting shares8. Lenders to the bank are, in practice, lending against the tractor maker.

The danger is in the coupling. In a severe farm crisis, falling used-equipment prices weaken the collateral, rising defaults hit the bank, and the support agreement draws on the equipment business at the moment it is earning least. A single notch of downgrade on the group rating would raise the cost of every dollar the bank borrows.

Moat trajectory: Holding steady

Debt to equity 8.4 to 1 at FYE 2025, 8.6 to 1 in August 2026.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Financial Services debt to equity, latest quarter
8.6 to 1 (2 Aug 2026), against 8.4 to 1 at FYE 2025 and 8.6 to 1 a year earlier

The leverage the equipment business guarantees; above 9 to 1 would mean the bank is stretching its capital.

Source: Deere & Company Form 10-Q, Q3 FY2026 ↗
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
Eight Times Levered on Farm Collateral
Deere's finance arm runs at 8.6 times equity against farm collateral, safe while used-machine prices hold.
References
  1. ReportedDeere has an agreement to make payments to Capital Corporation so that its ratio of earnings to fixed charges is not less than 1.05 to 1, and to keep its tangible net worth at not less than $50 million.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
  2. ReportedNo payments were needed in fiscal 2024 or 2025, and Capital Corporation's tangible net worth was $5,929.8 million.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
  3. ReportedThe group is rated A+ by Fitch, A1 by Moody's and A by S&P, all with stable outlooks.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
  4. ReportedThose ratings let the finance arm borrow $54,765 million, about 85.7% of the group's $63,936 million of borrowings.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
  5. Moat Explorer calcThose ratings let the finance arm borrow $54,765 million, about 85.7% of the group's $63,936 million of borrowings.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Deere & Company reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end on the Sunday nearest 31 October). Cycle: net income FY2025 over FY2023 5,027 / 10,166 - 1 = -50.6%; net sales and revenues 45,684 / 61,251 - 1 = -25.4%; FY2025 over FY2024 45,684 / 51,716 - 1 = -11.7%; equipment net sales 38,917 / 55,565 - 1 = -30.0%; Production & Precision Ag sales 17,311 / 26,790 - 1 = -35.4%, FY2025 over FY2024 17,311 / 20,834 - 1 = -16.9%; Small Ag & Turf 10,224 / 13,980 - 1 = -26.9%; Construction & Forestry 11,382 / 14,795 - 1 = -23.1%; PPA operating profit 2,671 / 6,996 - 1 = -61.8%; PPA sales 2020-2023 26,790 / 12,962 = 2.07 times, more than double; PPA U.S. net sales and revenues 7,753 / 13,917 - 1 = -44.3%; U.S. net sales and revenues 23,974 / 34,105 - 1 = -29.7%; Latin America 5,607 / 8,197 - 1 = -31.6%; production agriculture product line 16,960 / 26,450 - 1 = -35.9%; roadbuilding 3,552 / 3,794 - 1 = -6.4%; roadbuilding over Construction & Forestry net sales 3,552 / 11,382 = 31.2%. Construction & Forestry product lines FY2023 to FY2025: construction 4,570 / 6,842 - 1 = -33.2%; compact construction 1,922 / 2,451 - 1 = -21.6%; forestry 1,124 / 1,429 - 1 = -21.3%; roadbuilding -6.4%. Segment margins (operating profit over segment net sales): PPA 2020 1,969 / 12,962 = 15.2%; 2021 3,334 / 16,509 = 20.2%; 2022 4,386 / 22,002 = 19.9%; 2023 6,996 / 26,790 = 26.1%; 2024 4,514 / 20,834 = 21.7%; 2025 2,671 / 17,311 = 15.4%. SAT 2020 1,000 / 9,363 = 10.7%; 2021 2,045 / 11,860 = 17.2%; 2022 1,949 / 13,381 = 14.6%; 2023 2,472 / 13,980 = 17.7%; 2024 1,627 / 10,969 = 14.8%; 2025 1,207 / 10,224 = 11.8%. CF 2020 590 / 8,947 = 6.6%; 2021 1,489 / 11,368 = 13.1%; 2022 2,014 / 12,534 = 16.1%; 2023 2,695 / 14,795 = 18.2%; 2024 2,009 / 12,956 = 15.5%; 2025 1,028 / 11,382 = 9.0%. Equipment operations operating profit 2,671 + 1,207 + 1,028 = 4,906 (FY2025), 4,514 + 1,627 + 2,009 = 8,150 (FY2024), 6,996 + 2,472 + 2,695 = 12,163 (FY2023); equipment operating margin 4,906 / 38,917 = 12.6%, 8,150 / 44,759 = 18.2%, 12,163 / 55,565 = 21.9%; first nine months FY2026 (1,372 + 1,538 + 1,134 = 4,044) / 30,779 = 13.1%; Q3 FY2026 527 + 622 + 436 = 1,585 against Q3 FY2025 580 + 485 + 237 = 1,302, an increase of 283. Nine-month operating profit change: PPA 1,372 / 2,066 - 1 = -33.6%; SAT 1,538 / 1,182 - 1 = +30.1%; CF 1,134 / 681 - 1 = +66.5%. PPA share of segment operating profit FY2023 6,996 / 12,958 = 54.0%; FY2025 2,671 / 6,020 = 44.4%. FS segment operating profit 1,114 / 795 - 1 = +40.1%. Equipment gross margin (net sales less consolidated cost of sales): FY2023 55,565 - 37,715 = 17,850, / 55,565 = 32.1%; FY2024 (44,759 - 30,775) / 44,759 = 31.2%; FY2025 38,917 - 28,159 = 10,758, / 38,917 = 27.6%. Equipment share of net sales and revenues 38,917 / 45,684 = 85.2% (FY2025); 55,565 / 61,251 = 90.7% (FY2023). Financial Services band (total net sales and revenues less equipment net sales): 2020 35,540 - (12,962 + 9,363 + 8,947 = 31,272) = 4,268; 2021 44,024 - (16,509 + 11,860 + 11,368 = 39,737) = 4,287; 2022 52,577 - (22,002 + 13,381 + 12,534 = 47,917) = 4,660; 2023 61,251 - 55,565 = 5,686; 2024 51,716 - 44,759 = 6,957; 2025 45,684 - 38,917 = 6,767 = finance and interest income 5,748 + other income 1,019; share of revenue 6,767 / 45,684 = 14.8% (FY2025), 5,686 / 61,251 = 9.3% (FY2023). Financial Services share of consolidated assets 70,021 / 105,996 = 66.1%; share of net income 890 / 5,027 = 17.7%; return on equity 890 / ((7,069 + 7,454) / 2 = 7,262) = 12.3%; Financial Services borrowings 13,382 + 6,595 + 34,788 = 54,765; consolidated borrowings 13,796 + 6,596 + 43,544 = 63,936; FS share 54,765 / 63,936 = 85.7%; Financial Services equity over assets 7,069 / 70,021 = 10.1%, about a tenth (debt to equity 8.6 to 1). Interest compensation to Financial Services 414 / 687 - 1 = -39.7%. Financing receivables 44,575 (about $44.6bn) / 23,702 = 1.88 times. Write-offs six months FY2026 150 / 44,575 = 0.3%. Equipment operations: net debt 9,171 - 6,557 = 2,614 (FY2025); 2,614 / 4,137 = 0.63 years of net income, less than eight months; return on invested capital estimate FY2025 (4,137 + 372 x 0.8 = 4,435) / (18,887 + 9,171 - 6,557 = 21,501) = 20.6%; FY2024 (6,404 + 396 x 0.8 = 6,721) / (15,389 + 7,516 - 5,740 = 17,165) = 39.2%; 20% tax on interest is an approximation. Equipment operations cash flow 5,100 / 11,919 - 1 = -57.2%. Costs and people: R&D over equipment net sales 2,177 / 55,565 = 3.9% (FY2023), 2,290 / 44,759 = 5.1% (FY2024), 2,311 / 38,917 = 5.9% (FY2025), 1,704 / 30,779 = 5.5% (nine months FY2026); nine-month R&D 1,704 / 1,631 - 1 = +4.5%; R&D at the FY2023 ratio 38,917 x 3.9% = about 1,520, difference 2,311 - 1,520 = about 790, about 2 points of 38,917. Employees 82,956 - 73,146 = 9,810, about 9,800, 9,810 / 82,956 = 11.8%. Tariff cost about 600 / 4,906 = 12.2% of equipment operating profit; 1,100 / 4,906 = 22%, about a fifth. Trade receivables 7,723 / 6,103 - 1 = +26.5%. Wirtgen first-year operating profit 116 / 5,327 = 2.2%; CF operating profit 1,028 / 5,327 = 19.3%, about a fifth; CF goodwill 3,051 / 4,188 = 72.9%. Tenna goodwill 286 / 439 = 65%. Backlog CF 3.8 / 2.2 - 1 = +73%. Engaged acres per connected machine 520 million / 1.2 million = about 433. Capital returns: cash returned FY2023 dividends paid 1,427 + repurchases 7,216 = 8,643; FY2025 1,720 + 1,138 = 2,858; 2,858 / 8,643 - 1 = -66.9%; diluted shares 271.7 / 316.6 - 1 = -14.2%; dividend payout 6.48 / 18.50 = 35.0%. Fiscal 2016 net margin 1,523.9 / 26,644.0 = 5.7%. Diluted EPS FY2025 over FY2023 18.50 / 34.63 - 1 = -46.6%. Equipment segment identifiable assets 8,787 + 3,987 + 7,792 = 20,566, over Financial Services 70,021 = 29.4%, less than a third. Valuation: trailing twelve months to 2 August 2026 net sales and revenues 45,684 - 33,290 + 35,589 = 47,983; net income 5,027 - 3,962 + 3,808 = 4,873; diluted EPS 18.50 - 14.57 + 14.06 = 17.99; P/E 185,230 / 4,873 = 38.0; P/S 185,230 / 47,983 = 3.86; market value over FY2023 net income 185,230 / 10,166 = 18.2 times; market value change since FY2025 year end 185,230 / 124,792 - 1 = +48.4%; trailing net income 4,873 / 5,027 - 1 = -3.1%; analyst target 691.83 / 687.00 - 1 = +0.7%; Deere over CNH and AGCO 185.23 / (16.67 + 8.03 = 24.70) = 7.5 times; Deere over Caterpillar 185.23 / 388.62 = 47.7%, about half; Caterpillar over Deere 388.62 / 185.23 = 2.1 times. Year-end P/E and P/S: 2015 24.15bn / 1,940 = 12.45, / 28,863 = 0.837; 2016 32.65 / 1,524 = 21.42, / 26,644 = 1.225; 2017 50.49 / 2,159 = 23.39, / 29,738 = 1.698; 2018 47.52 / 2,368 = 20.07, / 37,358 = 1.272; 2019 54.28 / 3,253 = 16.69, / 39,258 = 1.383; 2020 84.31 / 2,751 = 30.65, / 35,540 = 2.372; 2021 106.137 / 5,963 = 17.80, / 44,024 = 2.411; 2022 119.777 / 7,131 = 16.80, / 52,577 = 2.278; 2023 104.011 / 10,166 = 10.23, / 61,251 = 1.698; 2024 111.610 / 7,100 = 15.72, / 51,716 = 2.158; 2025 124.792 / 5,027 = 24.82, / 45,684 = 2.732. Guidance: fiscal 2026 net income midpoints (4,000 + 4,750) / 2 = 4,375 (November 2025); (4,500 + 5,000) / 2 = 4,750 (February and May 2026); (4,750 + 5,000) / 2 = 4,875, $4.875bn (August 2026); 4,875 / 5,027 - 1 = -3.0%; nine months 3,808 / 4,875 = 78.1%; implied fourth quarter 4,750 - 3,808 = 942 to 5,000 - 3,808 = 1,192. U.S. share of net sales and revenues 23,974 / 45,684 = 52.5% (FY2025), 34,105 / 61,251 = 55.7% (FY2023) - Financial Services, financing and the equipment operations balance sheet. — FY2015-Q3 FY2026 · publ. October 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Deere & Company Forms 10-K, 10-Q, results releases, the 2026 proxy statement, the Q3 FY2026 call, and stockanalysis.com market data; each operand is stated in the source line.
  6. ReportedIts ratio of interest-bearing debt to equity was 8.4 to 1 at the fiscal year end and 8.6 to 1 at 2 August 2026.
    Deere & Company Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 2 August 2026, $ millions - income statement, balance sheet, receivables, financing receivables, cash returned and the outlook. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 27 August 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedDeere's obligations to make payments to Capital Corporation "are independent of whether Capital Corporation is in default on its indebtedness", and Deere has committed to own at least 51% of its voting shares.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
  8. ReportedDeere's obligations to make payments to Capital Corporation "are independent of whether Capital Corporation is in default on its indebtedness", and Deere has committed to own at least 51% of its voting shares.
    Deere & Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 2 November 2025), $ millions - Financial Services: John Deere Capital Corporation, financing receivables, credit quality, interest-free periods, the support agreement and Banco John Deere. — FY2025 · publ. 18 December 2025 · source ↗
Sources
Generated October 5, 2026