AI-generated analysis, not investment advice. The articles are written by AI, edited, and checked against company filings — but the judgements are opinions and the figures go stale. How this is made · Terms

Reliance: The Rival Disney Joined in IndiaThin moat

Walt Disney (DIS) — moat facet

Disney's Star India lost $1.3 billion in three years and was impaired by $1.5 billion; Disney now holds 37% of a joint venture Reliance controls.

In India Disney chose to join its strongest local rival rather than keep losing to it. On 14 November 2024 it combined its Star-branded channels and Disney+ Hotstar with media businesses controlled by Reliance Industries1. Reliance has an effective 56% controlling interest in the joint venture, Disney 37% and a third-party investor 7%2.

Star India operating loss ($M)-237FY2022-432FY2023-636FY2024Walt Disney Forms 10-K FY2023 and FY2024, Sports detail; all losses
Three years of growing losses, then a minority stake.

The losses explain the choice. Star India's operating result was a loss of $237 million in fiscal 2022, $432 million in fiscal 2023 and $636 million in fiscal 202434, a cumulative loss of $1,305 million in three years5. In fiscal 2024 Disney also recorded a $1,545 million Star India impairment6. Star came to Disney with Fox: the 2019 10-K lists "TFCF's international television businesses (including Star)" among the assets acquired7.

As a minority partner Disney now reports its share through equity income rather than consolidating the results. Star India revenue fell from $841 million in fiscal 2024 to $39 million in fiscal 20258, because only a few weeks of the year were consolidated, and its operating result became a small gain of $9 million9.

This is the only one of Disney's four competitive relationships in which it is the junior party. It gave up control of the largest market for Disney+ outside the United States in exchange for ending the losses. The trade makes sense as damage control and says little good about how the Star asset performed.

The joint venture took most of Disney's Indian business. It combined "the Company's Star-branded and other general entertainment and sports television channels and Disney+ Hotstar direct-to-consumer service in India" with Reliance-controlled businesses10. Disney's largest streaming market outside America now belongs to a company it does not control.

The measure is the equity income Disney now reports. Equity in the income of investees was $83 million in the latest quarter against $75 million a year earlier11. If Disney records a further impairment of its India stake, the 2024 deal will have only slowed the losses rather than ended them.

Moat trajectory: Narrowing

Disney a 37% minority partner in India since November 2024.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Equity in the income of investees, latest quarter
$83M (Q3 FY2026), against $75M a year earlier

Disney's share of partnerships including the India joint venture; losses here would mean the India deal has not stopped the bleeding.

Source: Walt Disney Q3 FY2026 earnings release ↗
References
  1. ReportedOn 14 November 2024 it combined its Star-branded channels and Disney+ Hotstar with media businesses controlled by Reliance Industries.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 27 September 2025) - Item 1 business and MD&A for Sports: ESPN, its channels and rights, and Star India. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  2. ReportedReliance has an effective 56% controlling interest in the joint venture, Disney 37% and a third-party investor 7%.
    The Walt Disney Company fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - income statement, adjusted EPS of $5.93, free cash flow of $10,077 million, capital expenditure by segment and the fiscal 2026 outlook including about $24 billion of content investment. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  3. ReportedStar India's operating result was a loss of $237 million in fiscal 2022, $432 million in fiscal 2023 and $636 million in fiscal 2024, a cumulative loss of $1,305 million in three years.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2023 - the new Entertainment, Sports and Experiences segments with fiscal 2021 and 2022 restated, Linear Networks and Direct-to-Consumer results for 2022-2023, $3,892 million of restructuring and impairment charges including $2,577 million of content impairments, and Mr. Iger's return as chief executive on 20 November 2022. — FY2023 · publ. November 2023 · source ↗
  4. ReportedStar India's operating result was a loss of $237 million in fiscal 2022, $432 million in fiscal 2023 and $636 million in fiscal 2024, a cumulative loss of $1,305 million in three years.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2024 - Linear Networks, Direct-to-Consumer and Content Sales/Licensing results for 2023-2024, Star India results, restructuring and impairment charges of $3,595 million (Star India $1,545 million, goodwill $1,287 million) and employees at 28 September 2024. — FY2024 · publ. November 2024 · source ↗
  5. Moat Explorer calcStar India's operating result was a loss of $237 million in fiscal 2022, $432 million in fiscal 2023 and $636 million in fiscal 2024, a cumulative loss of $1,305 million in three years.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Walt Disney reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end late September). Experiences: share of total segment operating income 8,954 / 12,863 = 69.6% (FY2023), 9,272 / 15,601 = 59.4% (FY2024), 9,995 / 17,551 = 56.9% (FY2025); nine months FY2026 8,941 / 14,758 = 60.6%; about three-fifths. Experiences share of revenue 36,156 / 94,425 = 38.3%. Entertainment share of segment operating income 4,674 / 17,551 = 26.6%; Sports 2,882 / 17,551 = 16.4%. Segment operating margins FY2025: Experiences 9,995 / 36,156 = 27.6%, Entertainment 4,674 / 42,466 = 11.0%, Sports 2,882 / 17,672 = 16.3%; FY2024: 9,272 / 34,151 = 27.2%, 3,923 / 41,186 = 9.5%, 2,406 / 17,619 = 13.7%; FY2023: 8,954 / 32,549 = 27.5%, 1,444 / 40,635 = 3.6%, 2,465 / 17,111 = 14.4%; FY2022 Entertainment 2,126 / 39,569 = 5.4%; FY2021 Entertainment 5,196 / 36,489 = 14.2%. Domestic Parks & Experiences share of total segment operating income 6,375 / 17,551 = 36.3%; domestic margin 5,876 / 22,677 = 25.9% (FY2023), 5,878 / 23,596 = 24.9% (FY2024), 6,375 / 25,191 = 25.3% (FY2025); Q3 FY2026 2,088 / 7,116 = 29.3%; domestic operating income growth FY2024 5,878 / 5,876 - 1 = 0.0%, FY2025 6,375 / 5,878 - 1 = +8.5%. International margin 1,104 / 5,475 = 20.2%, 1,354 / 6,183 = 21.9%, 1,442 / 6,520 = 22.1%; Q2 FY2026 227 / 1,596 = 14.2%; Q3 FY2026 369 / 1,787 = 20.6%; nine months FY2026 international operating income 428 + 227 + 369 = 1,024. Consumer Products margin 1,974 / 4,397 = 44.9%, 2,040 / 4,372 = 46.7%, 2,178 / 4,445 = 49.0%; Q3 FY2026 560 / 1,065 = 52.6%; share of Experiences revenue 4,445 / 36,156 = 12.3% (about an eighth), of Experiences operating income 2,178 / 9,995 = 21.8% (about a fifth). Experiences capital expenditure 6,429 / 3,659 - 1 = +75.7%; as a share of Experiences operating income 3,659 / 9,272 = 39.5% (FY2024), 6,429 / 9,995 = 64.3% (FY2025). Experiences operating income growth FY2025 9,995 / 9,272 - 1 = +7.8%; revenue growth 34,151 / 32,549 - 1 = +4.9% (FY2024), 36,156 / 34,151 - 1 = +5.9% (FY2025); nine months FY2026 operating income 8,941 / 8,117 - 1 = +10.2%, revenue 29,461 / 27,390 - 1 = +7.6%; company capital expenditure nine months 6,780 / 6,108 - 1 = +11.0%, about 11%. Experiences revenue FY2025 over FY2021 36,156 / 15,961 = 2.27 times. Cruise fleet 6 ships + Destiny + Adventure = 8; + 4 under contract = 12. $60 billion over about 10 years = about $6 billion a year. Media: Linear Networks revenue 9,364 / 12,828 - 1 = -27.0% (FY2022 to FY2025); operating income 2,955 / 5,198 - 1 = -43.2%; FY2025 operating income 2,955 / 3,452 - 1 = -14.4%; margin 5,198 / 12,828 = 40.5% (FY2022), 2,955 / 9,364 = 31.6% (FY2025); linear advertising 2,856 / 4,877 - 1 = -41.4%; linear affiliate fees 6,348 / 7,739 - 1 = -18.0%; FY2025 advertising 2,856 / 3,676 - 1 = -22.3%, affiliate fees 6,348 / 6,872 - 1 = -7.6%. Direct-to-Consumer operating income swing 1,327 - (-3,424) = 4,751 (FY2022 to FY2025); FY2025 margin 1,327 / 24,614 = 5.4%; DTC advertising 3,684 / 3,614 - 1 = +1.9%; advertising share of DTC revenue 3,684 / 24,614 = 15.0%; DTC share of Entertainment revenue 24,614 / 42,466 = 58.0%. Entertainment SVOD margin Q3 FY2026 712 / 5,532 = 12.9%. Entertainment margin Q3 FY2026 1,680 / 11,345 = 14.8%; Entertainment revenue growth FY2021-FY2025 (42,466 / 36,489)^(1/4) - 1 = 3.9% a year; nine months FY2026 revenue 34,669 / 32,258 - 1 = +7.5%, operating income 4,116 / 3,983 - 1 = +3.3%. Content Sales/Licensing and Other margin 392 / 8,488 = 4.6%; theatrical distribution share of revenue 2,592 / 94,425 = 2.7%. Subscribers taking both Disney+ and Hulu 43.7 / 27.1 - 1 = +61.3%. Sports: ESPN Domestic margin 2,814 / 14,636 = 19.2% (FY2022), 2,881 / 14,945 = 19.3% (FY2023), 3,056 / 15,339 = 19.9% (FY2024), 2,801 / 16,085 = 17.4% (FY2025); FY2025 revenue 16,085 / 15,339 - 1 = +4.9%, operating income 2,801 / 3,056 - 1 = -8.3%. Sports affiliate and subscription share of revenue 11,944 / 17,672 = 67.6%. Sports programming commitments FY2026-FY2029 9,894 + 9,797 + 9,540 + 9,101 = 38,332, about $38.3 billion; FY2026 commitments over FY2025 Sports revenue 9,894 / 17,672 = 56.0%. Sports nine months FY2026 operating income 1,701 / 1,971 - 1 = -13.7%, revenue 14,018 / 13,692 - 1 = +2.4%. Sports revenue growth FY2021-FY2025 (17,672 / 15,960)^(1/4) - 1 = 2.6% a year. Star India operating losses 237 + 432 + 636 = 1,305 (FY2022-FY2024). ESPN implied value: 10% for $3 billion = about $30 billion. Affiliate fees FY2025: linear 6,348 + Sports affiliate and subscription 11,944 = 18,292, about $18.3 billion. Advertising FY2025: linear 2,856 + DTC 3,684 + Sports 4,444 = 10,984, about $11.0 billion. Cash, capital and valuation: dividend per share 1.50 (FY2026) / 1.00 (FY2025) - 1 = +50%. Experiences headcount 185,000 / 231,000 total = 80.1%, about four in five. SVOD Q3 FY2026 subscription fee increase 4,715 - 4,116 = 599, advertising increase 851 - 830 = 21; SVOD programming and production costs over SVOD revenue 2,577 / 5,532 = 46.6%, nearly half. Old-basis parks segment operating income 7,905 / 471 = 16.8 times (FY2021 to FY2022). trailing twelve months to June 2026 revenue 94,425 - 71,961 + 76,397 = 98,861, about $98.9 billion; net income 12,404 - 11,091 + 7,287 = 8,600. Restructuring and impairment charges 5,735 (FY2020) + 654 + 237 + 3,892 + 3,595 + 819 (FY2025) + 1,139 (nine months FY2026) = 16,071, about $16.1 billion. Fox goodwill 49,085 / 69,500 = 70.6% of consideration. Goodwill over total assets 73,294 / 197,514 = 37.1% (FY2025); 74,682 / 204,740 = 36.5% (27 June 2026). Buybacks nine months FY2026 7,245 / 68 million shares = $106.5 a share. Fiscal 2026 capital returns at least 9.0bn buybacks + about 2.6bn dividends = about $11.6 billion; free cash flow guided at least 19bn cash from operations - about 9bn capital expenditure = about $10 billion. Nine months FY2026 returned 7,245 + 1,337 = 8,582, / free cash flow 5,735 = 149.6%, about 150%. Net debt 27 June 2026 (8,627 + 37,414 = 46,041) - 5,185 = 40,856; at FY2025 year end 42,026 - 5,695 = 36,331; change 40,856 - 36,331 = 4,525. Unsatisfied performance obligations 16bn / FY2025 revenue 94.425bn = 16.9%. Analyst target 126.61 / 102.19 - 1 = +23.9%, about 24%. Disney market value over Netflix 176.45 / 279.23 = 63.2%, about 63%. Segment bands FY2025 42,466 + 17,672 + 36,156 = 96,294 against reported revenue 94,425 (eliminations 1,869). Nine months FY2026 segment revenues 34,669 + 14,018 + 29,461 = 78,148; Experiences share 29,461 / 78,148 = 37.7%. Year-end market value (31 December after each fiscal year, companiesmarketcap) over net income and revenue: 2015 173.71bn / 8,382 = 20.72, / 52,465 = 3.311; 2016 165.86 / 9,391 = 17.66, / 55,632 = 2.981; 2017 162.04 / 8,980 = 18.04, / 55,137 = 2.939; 2018 164.47 / 12,598 = 13.06, / 59,434 = 2.767; 2019 257.58 / 11,054 = 23.30, / 69,607 = 3.700; 2020 328.02 / 65,388 = 5.017 (loss year); 2021 281.53 / 1,995 = 141.1, / 67,418 = 4.176; 2022 158.43 / 3,145 = 50.38, / 82,722 = 1.915; 2023 165.25 / 2,354 = 70.20, / 88,898 = 1.859; 2024 202.01 / 4,972 = 40.63, / 91,361 = 2.211; 2025 204.17 / 12,404 = 16.46, / 94,425 = 2.162; October 2026 176.45bn / 8,600 = 20.52, / 98,861 = 1.785 - Entertainment and Sports: linear, streaming, ESPN and rights. — FY2015-Q3 FY2026 · publ. October 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Walt Disney Forms 10-K, 10-Q and earnings releases, SEC XBRL, and stockanalysis.com and companiesmarketcap.com market values; each operand is stated in the source line.
  6. ReportedIn fiscal 2024 Disney also recorded a $1,545 million Star India impairment.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2024 - Linear Networks, Direct-to-Consumer and Content Sales/Licensing results for 2023-2024, Star India results, restructuring and impairment charges of $3,595 million (Star India $1,545 million, goodwill $1,287 million) and employees at 28 September 2024. — FY2024 · publ. November 2024 · source ↗
  7. ReportedStar came to Disney with Fox: the 2019 10-K lists "TFCF's international television businesses (including Star)" among the assets acquired.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2019 - the acquisition of TFCF (Twenty-First Century Fox) on 20 March 2019 for $69.5 billion ($35.7 billion cash, $33.8 billion in 307 million shares at $110.00), the businesses acquired, goodwill of $49,085 million and the Hulu ownership steps. — FY2019 · publ. November 2019 · source ↗
  8. ReportedStar India revenue fell from $841 million in fiscal 2024 to $39 million in fiscal 2025, because only a few weeks of the year were consolidated, and its operating result became a small gain of $9 million.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 27 September 2025) - Item 1 business and MD&A for Sports: ESPN, its channels and rights, and Star India. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  9. ReportedStar India revenue fell from $841 million in fiscal 2024 to $39 million in fiscal 2025, because only a few weeks of the year were consolidated, and its operating result became a small gain of $9 million.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 27 September 2025) - Item 1 business and MD&A for Sports: ESPN, its channels and rights, and Star India. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  10. ReportedIt combined "the Company's Star-branded and other general entertainment and sports television channels and Disney+ Hotstar direct-to-consumer service in India" with Reliance-controlled businesses.
    The Walt Disney Company Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (year ended 27 September 2025) - Item 1 business and MD&A for Sports: ESPN, its channels and rights, and Star India. — FY2025 · publ. 13 November 2025 · source ↗
  11. ReportedEquity in the income of investees was $83 million in the latest quarter against $75 million a year earlier.
    The Walt Disney Company third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - income statement, adjusted EPS, cash flow and balance sheet. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 5 August 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated October 5, 2026