⚠ Negative Equity Is Not FreeLow threat
VeriSign (VRSN) — threat to the moat
The June 2026 refinancing swapped 4.75% paper for 5.10% paper, which is what a decade of cheap leverage looks like when it ends.
Negative equity is a choice, but the debt behind it is not free.
VeriSign carries roughly $2.3 billion of senior notes against $1.03 billion of cash and securities.1 For most of the last decade that debt was cheap and the arithmetic was obvious: borrow at four-and-something percent, retire stock earning far more. The arithmetic has changed. In June 2026 the company issued $550 million of 5.10% notes due 2031 and used the proceeds to redeem $550 million of 4.75% notes due 2027 — refinancing at a higher coupon.2
Interest expense already runs at about 4.6% of revenue, which sounds small until you notice it is roughly a seventh of total costs and expenses at a company whose costs are 32.3% of sales.3
The exposure is not solvency. With a 67.7% operating margin and prepaid customers, VeriSign could service several times this debt. The exposure is optionality: a company with negative equity and a full buyback authorisation has less room to respond to an event — a contract renegotiation, a large acquisition it suddenly wants to make, a bad year — than one that retained its earnings.
The number to watch is the coupon on the next refinancing, not the leverage ratio.
- ReportedSenior notes totalled about $2.33 billion at 30 June 2026 against cash and securities of $1.03 billion.VeriSign, Inc., Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (SEC, CIK 1014473). Revenues $434.6M for the quarter and $863.5M for the six months, each up 6%; operating income $296.3M and $589.9M, up 6% and 7%. Net income $216.5M and $431.0M; diluted EPS $2.38 and $4.71 on 91.1 and 91.4 million diluted shares. Total assets $1,802.8M; deferred revenues $1,084.8M current and $364.1M long-term; current senior notes $549.3M and long-term senior notes $1,785.1M. Net cash provided by operating activities $504.0M for the six months against $493.8M; deferred revenues increased $64.5M. 90,300,000 shares of common stock were outstanding at 17 July 2026. The domain name base was 179.1 million at 30 June 2026, up 5.1%; 12.7 million new registrations were processed in the quarter; the final first-quarter 2026 renewal rate was 76.3%. $666.0 million remained for repurchases at 30 June 2026 before an additional $884.2 million was authorised effective 23 July 2026. — Q2 2026 · publ. 2026-07-23 · source ↗
- ReportedVeriSign issued $550 million of 5.10% Senior Notes due 2031 on 26 June 2026 and used the proceeds to redeem $550 million of 4.75% Senior Notes due 2027 on 20 July 2026.VeriSign, Inc., Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results — Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1, 23 July 2026. Revenue $435 million, up 6.0% year over year; operating income $296 million against $281 million; net income $217 million and diluted EPS $2.38 against $207 million and $2.21. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities $1.03 billion, up $454 million from year-end 2025; deferred revenues $1.45 billion at 30 June 2026, up $64 million from year-end. Cash flow from operations $232 million. On 26 June 2026 VeriSign issued $550 million of 5.10% Senior Notes due 2031 and on 20 July 2026 used the proceeds with cash on hand to redeem $550 million of 4.75% Senior Notes due 2027. 0.7 million shares repurchased for $197 million; an additional $884 million authorised effective 23 July 2026 bringing the total authorisation to $1.50 billion; a quarterly dividend of $0.81 per share declared on 20 July 2026. The domain name base ended at 179.1 million .com and .net registrations, a 5.1% increase year over year and a net increase of 3.05 million in the quarter; a record 12.7 million new registrations were processed against 10.4 million; the final first-quarter 2026 renewal rate was 76.3% against 75.5%. CEO Jim Bidzos: the record of 100% availability for the .com and .net domain name resolution system was extended to 29 years, and more than 100% of free cash flow was returned to the investing public through dividends and share repurchases. The .web top-level domain has been delegated into the DNS root zone with VeriSign as the designated registry operator. — Q2 2026 · publ. 2026-07-23 · source ↗
- ReportedInterest expense was 4.6% of revenue in 2025 against total costs and expenses of 32.3%.VeriSign, Inc., Form 10-K FY2025 — Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis. Revenues $1,656.6M (+6%) against $1,557.4M in 2024 (+4%) and $1,493.1M in 2023; operating income $1,121.0M (+6%). Costs as a percentage of revenues: cost of revenues 11.8% (12.3%, 13.2%), research and development 6.3% (6.2%, 6.1%), selling, general and administrative 14.2% (13.6%, 13.7%), total costs and expenses 32.3% (32.1%, 33.0%), operating income 67.7% (67.9%, 67.0%), interest expense (4.6)%, net income 49.8% (50.4%, 54.8%). The .com and .net domain name base was 173.5 million at 31 December 2025 (+3%) against 169.0 million in 2024 (−2%) and 172.7 million in 2023. VeriSign processed 41.7 million new .com and .net registrations in 2025 against 37.4 million in 2024; the final third-quarter 2025 renewal rate was 75.4% against 72.2%. The registry-level wholesale fee rose from $9.59 to $10.26 for .com effective 1 September 2024 and from $9.92 to $10.91 for .net effective 1 February 2024. Geographic revenues: U.S. $1,093.1M (+6%), EMEA $279.4M (+12%), APAC $184.6M (+5%), other $99.5M (+3%). VeriSign repurchased 3.4 million shares for $858.6M in 2025, with $1.08 billion remaining under a programme authorised to $1.50 billion effective 24 July 2025. — FY2025 · publ. 2026-02-05 · source ↗