Staying Ahead of Samsung & IntelWide moat
TSMC (TSM) — moat facet
Both rivals have stumbled at the frontier — the gap widened while they did.
TSMC's leadership is best appreciated against the struggles of the only two companies with the ambition and resources to challenge it at the leading edge: Samsung's foundry and Intel. Samsung, despite enormous resources and its own advanced-node efforts, has repeatedly trailed TSMC on yield and lost the confidence1 of leading customers, some of whom have shifted business to TSMC after disappointing Samsung experiences. Intel, which for decades held the manufacturing lead TSMC now enjoys, fell behind on its process roadmap in the late 2010s2 and has since been fighting, at great cost and with uncertain success, to build a competitive foundry business almost from scratch.
The significance is that TSMC's rivals have, on the whole, fallen further behind rather than caught up, and TSMC's share of the leading edge has grown even as two well-funded competitors tried to close the gap. This is the strongest evidence that the moat is genuinely wide: it has been directly assaulted by capable, deep-pocketed, state-supported rivals and has widened rather than narrowed. It is not guaranteed to stay that way — Intel or Samsung could yet execute a turnaround, and both have the resources and the strategic backing to keep trying. But the track record of the last decade is that catching TSMC is far harder than it looks, and that the company's lead in the hardest, most important manufacturing on earth has proven remarkably, repeatedly defensible against the only rivals big enough to contest it.
Widening. Samsung's yield struggles and Intel's roadmap stumbles have left both further behind, not closer — the lead over the only two credible rivals has grown.
Samsung has struggled with yields and Intel with delays at the nodes where TSMC earns most. A rising share of revenue from those nodes says the lead is widening; a falling one would suggest rivals are winning leading-edge work.
Source: TSMC Form 20-F, FY2025 ↗- ReportedSamsung has repeatedly trailed on advanced-node yield and lost flagship customers.TrendForce, 4Q22 top-10 foundry ranking (TSMC US$19,962M, almost 60% share; Samsung US$5,391M, having lost significant demand for its 7nm-and-below nodes as Qualcomm and NVIDIA reallocated flagship orders) — 4Q22 · publ. March 13, 2023 · source ↗
- ReportedIntel fell behind on its process roadmap in the late 2010s.Reported — Intel's late-2010s process stumbles (10nm/7nm delays) and the Intel Foundry restructuring backed by US support — 2015-2026 · publ. 2015-2026 · source ↗