Rising ASPs & Pricing PowerWide moat
ASML (ASML) — moat facet
Each generation costs more than the last, and the customers pay — pricing power measured in hundreds of millions per unit.
The clearest financial expression of ASML's monopoly is its pricing power: the ability to charge more for each machine, generation after generation, and have customers pay without alternative. The average selling price of ASML's systems has risen relentlessly1 as the technology has advanced — a next-generation High-NA EUV machine now exceeds €350 million, well above the previous generation's already-staggering price, and each step up the technology ladder commands a higher price still. This is not price gouging in the customer's eyes; it is the cost of access to the leading edge, and the customer pays because the alternative — being unable to make advanced chips — is unthinkable.
Rising average selling prices are the monopoly compounding its value. Even in years when the number of machines shipped grows only modestly, the rising price per machine drives revenue higher, and the mix shift toward the most advanced, most expensive systems lifts both revenue and margin. Because ASML is the sole source and its machines are essential, its pricing power is anchored not by competition (there is none) but by the enormous value the machines create for customers — a leading-edge lithography machine, however expensive, is a small fraction of the value of the chips it will print over its life. This lets ASML capture a growing share of the value it enables, machine after machine, in the purest demonstration of what a monopoly on an essential, rising-value technology can command. The prices only go up, and the customers, having no choice and enormous incentive, only keep paying.
Widening. Each generation commands a higher price — a High-NA system exceeds €350M — and the mix shift toward the most advanced, most expensive machines keeps lifting both revenue and margin. The monopoly is compounding its pricing.
Fewer machines, more money each: the mix is moving to EUV. Falling revenue per system would mean the price ladder had stopped.
- ReportedSystem prices have risen relentlessly — High-NA at ~€350M+.ASML — High-NA EUV (EXE platform, ~€350M+ per system; first systems shipped 2023-24; meaningful volume now expected at the ~1.4nm/1nm nodes) — 2023-2026 · publ. 2023-2026 · source ↗