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International Pediatric NutritionThin moat

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) — moat facet

Abbott's international infant formula sales fell 14% from 2017 to 2025; a formula brand travels less well than a medical device.

Outside the United States, Abbott's infant formula business has been shrinking for years. International Pediatric Nutrition sold $2,112 million in 20171, $2,282 million in 2019, $1,919 million in 20222 and $1,816 million in 20253, 14.0% less than in 20174.

Abbott international pediatric nutrition sales ($M)2,11220172,28220192,10620211,95720231,8162025Abbott Forms 10-K FY2019, FY2021, FY2023 and FY2025, product-line sales
Lower each year since 2019.

The brand is the same as at home, but the markets are different. Many of Abbott's international pediatric sales are in emerging markets, where Abbott's filings name private label and local manufacturers as a competitive pressure5. A local brand made nearby can be cheaper and trusted enough.

The second quarter of 2026 was a bright spot: International Pediatric Nutrition rose 7.3% reported and 6.4% on a comparable basis6. Over the first half it rose 0.7% comparable7, so one good quarter has not yet changed the trend.

What this line says about the moat is that a brand travels less well than a device. A doctor in Delhi and a doctor in Ohio pick the same pacemaker; a parent in each picks a different formula.

The latest half shows a business holding rather than growing. International pediatric sales were $942 million in the first half of 2026, up 2.4% reported8, after $1,815 million in 2024 and $1,816 million in 20259. Two flat years followed six of decline.

The filing shows how much currency has hidden. In 2025 the line rose 0.1% reported and 1.3% excluding currency, after falling 7.3% reported and 4.3% excluding currency in 202410. In the pandemic year of 2020 it sold $2,140 million11, and in the second quarter of 2026 it sold $500 million12. The underlying business has been shrinking more slowly than the dollar figures suggest, but it has been shrinking. In the fourth quarter of 2025 international pediatric sales were $439 million, up 0.3%13, before the second quarter of 2026 brought the first clear gain. International pediatric sales were $2,106 million in 202114.

The test is whether the second quarter repeats. International Pediatric Nutrition sales below $1.8 billion for 2026 would continue the decline the second quarter interrupted.

Moat trajectory: Narrowing

Down 14% since 2017; +6.4% comparable in Q2 2026.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
International pediatric nutrition comparable growth, latest quarter
+6.4% (Q2 2026: $500M)

Whether the long decline has turned; sales below $1.8bn for 2026 would mean not.

Source: Abbott Q2 2026 earnings release ↗
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
The Nutrition Margin Has Not Recovered
Abbott's nutrition margin fell from 23.0% in 2019 to 18.4% in 2025 as private label and local brands pressed on price.
References
  1. ReportedInternational Pediatric Nutrition sold $2,112 million in 2017, $2,282 million in 2019, $1,919 million in 2022 and $1,816 million in 2025, 14.0% less than in 2017.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2019 - the four reportable segments with Diabetes Care folded into Medical Devices from the fourth quarter of 2019 and 2017-2018 recast, product-line sales for 2017-2019, net earnings and EPS for 2017-2019 including the 2017 tax reform charge, and the balance sheet at 31 December 2019. — FY2019 · publ. February 2020 · source ↗
  2. ReportedInternational Pediatric Nutrition sold $2,112 million in 2017, $2,282 million in 2019, $1,919 million in 2022 and $1,816 million in 2025, 14.0% less than in 2017.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2023 - segment results for 2021-2023 restated for the move of Acelis Connected Health to Medical Devices, product-line sales for 2021-2023, Rapid Diagnostics' fall in 2023, COVID-19 testing as 17.8% and 19.2% of sales in 2021 and 2022, and the balance sheet at 31 December 2023. — FY2023 · publ. February 2024 · source ↗
  3. ReportedInternational Pediatric Nutrition sold $2,112 million in 2017, $2,282 million in 2019, $1,919 million in 2022 and $1,816 million in 2025, 14.0% less than in 2017.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1 and MD&A for Nutritional Products: pediatric and adult nutrition in the US and abroad. — FY2025 · publ. 20 February 2026 · source ↗
  4. Moat Explorer calcInternational Pediatric Nutrition sold $2,112 million in 2017, $2,282 million in 2019, $1,919 million in 2022 and $1,816 million in 2025, 14.0% less than in 2017.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Abbott Laboratories reported figures ($ millions unless stated; calendar years). Medical Devices: share of total reportable segment operating earnings 3,011 / 6,916 = 43.5% (2017), 4,533 / 13,422 = 33.8% (2021), 7,212 / 11,800 = 61.1% (2025); first half 2026 3,862 / 6,122 = 63.1%. Share of segment sales 21,387 / 44,311 = 48.3% (2025); first half 2026 11,392 / 23,750 = 48.0%. Segment margin 3,011 / 10,325 = 29.2% (2017), 3,038 / 11,787 = 25.8% (2020), 4,533 / 14,485 = 31.3% (2021), 7,212 / 21,387 = 33.7% (2025); Q2 2026 1,969 / 5,853 = 33.6%, Q2 2025 1,796 / 5,369 = 33.5%. Sales growth 2017-2025 (21,387 / 10,325)^(1/8) - 1 = 9.5% a year; operating earnings 2025 7,212 / 6,153 - 1 = +17.2%; sales 2025 21,387 / 18,986 - 1 = +12.6%. Diabetes Care 7,998 / 1,414 = 5.66 times (2017 to 2025); share of Medical Devices 1,414 / 10,325 = 13.7% (2017), 2,524 / 12,239 = 20.6% (2019), 4,328 / 14,485 = 29.9% (2021), 5,761 / 16,887 = 34.1% (2023), 7,998 / 21,387 = 37.4% (2025); share of company 7,998 / 44,328 = 18.0%; CGM share of Diabetes Care 7.6bn / 7.998bn = 95%. CGM growth 2019-2025 (7.6 / 1.842)^(1/6) - 1 = 26.6% a year. Abbott CGM sales over DexCom revenue 7,600 / 4,662.0 = 1.63 times. DexCom distributor share 3,959.0 / 4,662.0 = 84.9%. Product lines 2017 to 2025: Electrophysiology 2,764 / 1,353 = 2.04 times; Structural Heart 2,523 / 1,083 = 2.33 times; Heart Failure 1,448 / 643 = 2.25 times; Rhythm Management 2,649 / 2,132 - 1 = +24.2%; Neuromodulation 1,010 / 808 - 1 = +25.0%; Vascular 2,995 / 2,892 - 1 = +3.6%. Rhythm Management, Heart Failure, Vascular and Neuromodulation together 2,649 + 1,448 + 2,995 + 1,010 = 8,102 (2025) against 2,390 + 1,279 + 2,837 + 962 = 7,468 (2024), +8.5%. Diagnostics: margin 1,912 / 7,713 = 24.8% (2019), 6,237 / 15,526 = 40.2% (2021), 6,640 / 16,469 = 40.3% (2022), 2,433 / 9,988 = 24.4% (2023), 1,740 / 8,937 = 19.5% (2025); Q2 2026 499 / 3,092 = 16.1%, Q2 2025 372 / 2,173 = 17.1%. Share of segment operating earnings 6,640 / 12,831 = 51.7% (2022), 1,740 / 11,800 = 14.7% (2025). Sales 2025 8,937 / 9,341 - 1 = -4.3%. COVID testing share of Diagnostics sales 2022 8.4bn / 16.469bn = 51%, about half. Core Laboratory 5,360 / 4,063 - 1 = +31.9%. Rapid Diagnostics 2,454 / 10,061 - 1 = -75.6% (2022 to 2025). Point of Care 606 / 550 - 1 = +10.2%. Molecular 2020 peak 1,438 / 463 = 3.11 times 2017. Cancer Diagnostics share of Diagnostics Q2 2026 919 / 3,092 = 29.7%. Exact Sciences US share of 2025 sales 3,145 / 3,247 = 96.9%; purchase price over 2025 sales 20.6bn / 3.247bn = 6.3 times. China net sales 1,907 / 2,253 - 1 = -15.4% (2023 to 2025); China share of company 2,253 / 40,109 = 5.6% (2023), 1,907 / 44,328 = 4.3% (2025). Nutrition: margin 1,741 / 6,975 = 25.0% (2015), 1,705 / 7,409 = 23.0% (2019), 1,763 / 8,294 = 21.3% (2021), 706 / 7,459 = 9.5% (2022), 1,333 / 8,154 = 16.3% (2023), 1,558 / 8,451 = 18.4% (2025); Q2 2026 368 / 2,144 = 17.2%, Q2 2025 418 / 2,212 = 18.9%. Q2 operating earnings 368 / 418 - 1 = -12.0%. Sales 2021 to 2025 8,451 / 8,294 - 1 = +1.9%. Share of company sales 6,925 / 27,390 = 25.3% (2017), 7,409 / 31,904 = 23.2% (2019), 8,294 / 43,075 = 19.3% (2021), 8,154 / 40,109 = 20.3% (2023), 8,451 / 44,328 = 19.1% (2025). US Pediatric 2022 1,562 / 2,192 - 1 = -28.7%. International Adult 3,029 / 1,782 - 1 = +70.0% (2017 to 2025); share of Nutrition 3,029 / 8,451 = 35.8%. International Pediatric 1,816 / 2,112 - 1 = -14.0%. Sturgis: recalled brands 479 / 1,200 - 1 = -60%; Nutrition operating earnings 706 / 1,763 - 1 = -60%. Established Pharmaceuticals: margin 658 / 3,720 = 17.7% (2015), 848 / 4,287 = 19.8% (2017), 904 / 4,486 = 20.2% (2019), 889 / 4,718 = 18.8% (2021), 1,206 / 5,066 = 23.8% (2023), 1,290 / 5,536 = 23.3% (2025); Q2 2026 382 / 1,499 = 25.5%. Sales 5,536 / 3,720 - 1 = +48.8% (2015 to 2025); (5,536 / 4,287)^(1/8) - 1 = 3.2% a year (2017 to 2025). Key Emerging Markets share 4,167 / 5,536 = 75.3%. Segment sales growth 2025: Medical Devices +12.6%, Established Pharmaceuticals 5,536 / 5,194 - 1 = +6.6%, Nutrition 8,451 / 8,413 - 1 = +0.5%, Diagnostics -4.3%; net sales 44,328 / 41,950 - 1 = +5.7%. US share of 2025 net sales 17,126 / 44,328 = 38.6%; international share Q2 2026 7,377 / 12,593 = 58.6%. Further: Structural Heart compensation payments 89 / 2,523 = 3.5% of 2025 line sales. Diabetes Care added 7,998 - 6,805 = 1,193 in 2025. One point of CGM growth on 7.6bn = about 76. Medical Devices share of segment assets 10,689 / (3,540 + 4,791 + 8,273 + 10,689 = 27,293) = 39.2%. Total debt over total assets 32,608 / 109,215 = 29.9% (30 June 2026), 12,929 / 86,713 = 14.9% (end 2025). Net debt over Abbott shareholders' investment 27,005 / 51,110 = 0.53. Market value 173.21 / 217.86 - 1 = -20.5% (end 2025 to 5 October 2026). Second pass: US Structural Heart first half 2026 449 / 1,175 = 38.2%. Rapid Diagnostics 2,454 / 4,376 = 56% of 2020. Diagnostics Q2 2026 operating earnings 499 / 372 - 1 = +34.1%. Nutrition sales (8,451 / 6,925)^(1/8) - 1 = 2.5% a year (2017 to 2025); 8,451 / 7,409 - 1 = +14.1% (2019 to 2025). US Adult Nutrition 1,448 / 1,254 - 1 = +15.5% (2017 to 2025). Adult nutrition 3,029 + 1,448 = 4,477; pediatric 2,158 + 1,816 = 3,974 (2025). Total segment operating earnings 11,800 / 13,422 - 1 = -12.1% (2021 to 2025); Medical Devices 7,212 / 4,533 - 1 = +59.1%. First half 2026 dividends over operating cash flow 2,200 / 3,803 = 57.9%. DexCom revenue 2023 3,095.6 + 526.7 = 3,622.3; 4,662.0 / 3,622.3 - 1 = +28.7%; Abbott CGM 7.6 / 5.3 - 1 = +43.4% (2023 to 2025). US share of first half 2026 sales 9,490 / 23,757 = 39.9%. Diagnostics RPO 6,200 / 8,937 = 69% of 2025 Diagnostics sales; 6,200 / 5,360 = 1.16 times Core Laboratory sales. Libre 7.6 / 1.128 = 6.7 times (2018 to 2025). Medical Devices and Established Pharmaceuticals RPO 455 + 243 = 698, / 6,898 = 10.1%. Cash, debt and dividends: free cash flow 9,566 - 2,171 = 7,395 (2025), 8,558 - 2,207 = 6,351 (2024), 7,261 - 2,202 = 5,059 (2023); after dividends 7,395 - 4,116 = 3,279, about $3.3 billion. Dividends paid over free cash flow 4,116 / 7,395 = 55.7%; over net earnings 4,116 / 6,524 = 63.1%; 2025 dividend per share over adjusted EPS 2.40 / 5.15 = 46.6%; annual dividend 4 x 0.63 = 2.52 over trailing EPS 3.09 = 81.6%. Dividend per share 2.40 / 0.98 = 2.45 times, (2.45)^(1/10) - 1 = 9.4% a year (2015 to 2025). Total debt 3,033 + 9,896 = 12,929 (end 2025), 3,005 + 29,603 = 32,608 (30 June 2026); net debt 12,929 - 8,522 - 417 = 3,990 (end 2025), 32,608 - 5,104 - 499 = 27,005 (30 June 2026), 14,679 - 7,279 = 7,400 (end 2023), 14,125 - 7,967 = 6,158 (end 2024); 27,005 / 3,990 = 6.8 times. Remaining performance obligations 6,200 + 455 + 243 = 6,898, about $6.9 billion; Diagnostics share 6,200 / 6,898 = 90%; beyond 36 months 100% - 52% - 18% = 30%; over trailing twelve-month sales 6,898 / 46,585 = 14.8%, about 15%. Trailing twelve months to June 2026: net sales 44,328 - 21,500 + 23,757 = 46,585; net earnings 6,524 - 3,104 + 2,005 = 5,425; diluted EPS 3.72 - 1.77 + 1.14 = 3.09. Expected amortization 1.5bn (2030) / 2.6bn (2026) - 1 = -42%. Analyst target 120.26 / 100.10 - 1 = +20.1%. 2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoints (5.55 + 5.80) / 2 = 5.675 (January), (5.38 + 5.58) / 2 = 5.48 (April), (5.45 + 5.60) / 2 = 5.525 (July). Year-end market value (stockanalysis) over net earnings and net sales: 2015 66.99bn / 4,423 = 15.15, / 20,405 = 3.283; 2016 56.55 / 1,400 = 40.39, / 20,853 = 2.712; 2017 99.34 / 477 = 208.26, / 27,390 = 3.627; 2018 127.04 / 2,368 = 53.65, / 30,578 = 4.155; 2019 153.61 / 3,687 = 41.66, / 31,904 = 4.815; 2020 194.06 / 4,495 = 43.17, / 34,608 = 5.607; 2021 248.87 / 7,071 = 35.20, / 43,075 = 5.778; 2022 191.43 / 6,933 = 27.61, / 43,653 = 4.385; 2023 191.09 / 5,723 = 33.39, / 40,109 = 4.764; 2024 196.18 / 13,402 = 14.64, / 41,950 = 4.677; 2025 217.86 / 6,524 = 33.39, / 44,328 = 4.915; 5 October 2026 173.21bn / 5,425 = 31.93, / 46,585 = 3.718 - Nutrition margins, lines and shares. — FY2015-Q2 2026 · publ. October 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Abbott Laboratories Forms 10-K and 10-Q and earnings releases, the DexCom Form 10-K, and stockanalysis.com market values; each operand is stated in the source line.
  5. ReportedMany of Abbott's international pediatric sales are in emerging markets, where Abbott's filings name private label and local manufacturers as a competitive pressure.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1A risk factors, competition, regulation and legal proceedings. — FY2025 · publ. 20 February 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedThe second quarter of 2026 was a bright spot: International Pediatric Nutrition rose 7.3% reported and 6.4% on a comparable basis.
    Abbott Laboratories second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - sales by segment and business, comparable growth, income statement, specified items, guidance and the 410th consecutive quarterly dividend - Nutrition sales and pricing actions. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedOver the first half it rose 0.7% comparable, so one good quarter has not yet changed the trend.
    Abbott Laboratories second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - sales by segment and business, comparable growth, income statement, specified items, guidance and the 410th consecutive quarterly dividend - total sales, income statement, specified items, tax rate, guidance and the dividend. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedInternational pediatric sales were $942 million in the first half of 2026, up 2.4% reported, after $1,815 million in 2024 and $1,816 million in 2025.
    Abbott Laboratories second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - sales by segment and business, comparable growth, income statement, specified items, guidance and the 410th consecutive quarterly dividend - Nutrition sales and pricing actions. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedInternational pediatric sales were $942 million in the first half of 2026, up 2.4% reported, after $1,815 million in 2024 and $1,816 million in 2025.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1 and MD&A for Nutritional Products: pediatric and adult nutrition in the US and abroad. — FY2025 · publ. 20 February 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedIn 2025 the line rose 0.1% reported and 1.3% excluding currency, after falling 7.3% reported and 4.3% excluding currency in 2024.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2025 (year ended 31 December 2025) - Item 1 business and the segment note: the four segments, sales and operating earnings, employees, manufacturing sites, customers and geography. — FY2025 · publ. 20 February 2026 · source ↗
  11. ReportedIn the pandemic year of 2020 it sold $2,140 million, and in the second quarter of 2026 it sold $500 million.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2021 - product-line sales for 2019-2021 including Rapid Diagnostics, Molecular and Diabetes Care, and the balance sheet at 31 December 2021. — FY2021 · publ. February 2022 · source ↗
  12. ReportedIn the pandemic year of 2020 it sold $2,140 million, and in the second quarter of 2026 it sold $500 million.
    Abbott Laboratories second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - sales by segment and business, comparable growth, income statement, specified items, guidance and the 410th consecutive quarterly dividend - total sales, income statement, specified items, tax rate, guidance and the dividend. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  13. ReportedIn the fourth quarter of 2025 international pediatric sales were $439 million, up 0.3%, before the second quarter of 2026 brought the first clear gain.
    Abbott Laboratories fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - fourth-quarter sales by segment, the Nutrition decline and strategic price actions, continuous glucose monitor sales growth, adjusted EPS of $5.15, the Volt PFA approval and 2026 guidance. — FY2025 · publ. 22 January 2026 · source ↗
  14. ReportedInternational pediatric sales were $2,106 million in 2021.
    Abbott Laboratories Form 10-K for 2021 - product-line sales for 2019-2021 including Rapid Diagnostics, Molecular and Diabetes Care, and the balance sheet at 31 December 2021. — FY2021 · publ. February 2022 · source ↗
Sources
Generated October 6, 2026