Working-Capital CreditThin moat
StoneCo (STNE) — moat facet
The highest returns in the bundle, and the biggest risks — lending is where the leverage lives.
Credit is where the financial operating system earns its highest returns and runs its greatest risks. The idea is elegant: a small merchant is chronically short of working capital, and Stone — which can see his card sales and can lend against them — is unusually well placed to provide it. A loan repaid automatically out of daily receivables is convenient for the merchant and relatively secure for Stone, and it deepens the relationship far more than a payment or a deposit does. By the end of 2025 the credit book had been rebuilt to about R$2.8 billion and was growing briskly1 again.
The phrase 'rebuilt' carries the whole cautionary tale. Stone's first serious push into lending, in 2021, went badly wrong — it expanded too fast into a receivables-registry system that was not ready, could not properly secure or collect its loans, and took painful losses that forced it to stop the business cold. That episode is the single most important thing to understand about Stone's credit ambitions, because it proved both that the opportunity is real and that the execution is unforgiving.
What Stone appears to have learned is discipline: rebuild slowly, lend mostly to merchants it already knows, secure the loans against receivables it can actually claim, and grow the book as the systems and the confidence justify. Done that way, credit is the most valuable product in the bundle — high-margin, sticky, and hard for a rival without the payment data to match. Done carelessly, it is how fintechs blow themselves up. The size of the prize and the size of the risk are, in this business, the same size.
Widening, from a low and chastened base. The credit book was rebuilt to about R$2.8 billion by the end of 2025 and growing briskly — up 23% in the fourth quarter alone — as Stone cautiously re-extends the most valuable product in the bundle: loans repaid automatically out of a merchant's card sales. Credit deepens the relationship far more than a payment or deposit does, and Stone's view of receivables makes it hard for a data-poor rival to match. The widening is real but must stay disciplined; this is the same product that blew up in 2021, so its growth is a virtue only for as long as underwriting holds.
Working-capital loans are the highest-margin line; the portfolio doubling while NPLs rise is where the risk sits.
Source: StoneCo second-quarter 2026 earnings release (13 August 2026) ↗- ReportedCredit book rebuilt to ~R$2.8B by end-2025.StoneCo FY2025 results (Form 20-F) — TPV ~R$560.9B, 3.7M active banking clients, ~R$11B deposits, credit book rebuilt to ~R$2.8B, ~R$1.8B of buybacks in the year — FY2025 · publ. early 2026 · source ↗